GFM7175's OFFICIAL 2020 ELECTION PREDICTION

THREAD UPDATE, AT THIS POINT IN TIME: (current thoughts in red)

NEVADA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, but voter fraud might leave him ever so barely shy of doing so once again. I wouldn't be surprised if I end up being wrong about this one, but I do think that this is the year that Nevada finally becomes a win for Team Red. This State is still interesting to see what happens... It appears that Dem fraud is barely pushing it over the top once again, but too early to call...

ARIZONA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. He will win it by about 4 points, and McSally will ride his coattails to victory in the Senate race there. I am damn surprised about Arizona looking like a possible blue pickup, as my pre-election math just doesn't support these results... Apparently I'm supposed to believe that a sizable chunk of Maricopa County R's voted Democrat?? Something smells fishy to me here...

COLORADO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It has been compromised by Kkkalifornia commies and I don't see a path for Trump to flip it. I would love to be wrong, though... As I expected...

NEW MEXICO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. I believe that Biden's win margin will be narrower than Clinton's was, but I do not see Trump gaining enough ground from 2016 to flip this State. Again, I would love to be wrong... As I expected...

NEBRASKA's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag (as he does the other two districts, and the State as a whole). He will win this district by about 3 points. Again, I'm baffled by this one turning blue... This just doesn't make sense...

TEXAS: Trump 100% has Texas in the bag, and will win it by at least 7 points. The fact that liberals think that Texas is in play is completely laughable... As expected...

IOWA: See Texas (above). As expected...

MINNESOTA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, as early indicators look very well for him in the Iron Range, and the Twin City suburbs are looking like an area of vote gains for Trump as well. We'll see on this one, but my gut feeling is that it narrowly flips red. Republicans also have a good chance to pick up a Senate seat here. I'm completely baffled by the results in both the Iron Range and Washington County... It doesn't make sense that Biden is winning by as much as he is here...

WISCONSIN: Trump all but has Wisconsin in the bag, and I think that he will win it by around 2-3 points. Early indicators are looking very well for Trump to gain votes in the WOW Counties (Milwaukee suburbs) as well as the Fox Valley region (Oshkosh area). I'm completely baffled by WI... Dane and Milwaukee numbers are through the roof for Biden... MKE moreso than Dane... What also doesn't make sense is two of the three WOW Counties shifting more towards Biden... Again, the data that I saw in early returns is just not making any sense compared against the results that are being spit out...

MICHIGAN: Trump all but has Michigan in the bag, and I see Michigan as being quite similar to Wisconsin's situation... The Senate race here is also looking quite well for Republicans, and would be a pick up for them. See WI text, but change it to the MI counties...

OHIO: See Texas (above). As expected...

PENNSYLVANIA: Trump all but has Pennsylvania in the bag (even with voter fraud efforts, largely led by Philly). My guess is that Trump wins PA by about 1.5-2.0 points. SHOULD go to Trump, but there's already been a lot of video evidence of fraud efforts in Philly being shared around on social media...

NEW HAMPSHIRE: This State could truly go either way in my mind... I'm guessing that Trump gets it narrowly flipped, as NH is likely to follow in the same political shift as Florida and company, but I could be wrong here. I'm baffled by it going as far for Biden as it did... doesn't make sense to me...

MAINE's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag. I don't see any path for him to win the State at large, however, but I'd love to be wrong... I haven't looked at numbers, but I'd be very surprised if Trump didn't win this...

VIRGINIA: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It, much like Colorado, has become compromised by liberals. I think that Biden will win it with a smaller margin that Clinton did, but I still don't see Trump flipping this one. I would love to be wrong, though... As expected, except for Biden getting a bigger margin than I expected...

NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag, and early data from the State is supporting that notion... It seems that Trump will win NC by about 4 points. Tillis should also be able to ride Trump's coattails to victory in the Senate race. Trump should win, but there's a smaller margin than I expected...

GEORGIA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. It's laughable to think that Dems even have any sort of chance in Georgia... The Republican Senate seats will remain Republican controlled as well... See NC... I also smell fishy shit going on in the ATL area...

FLORIDA: Trump 100% has Florida in the bag, and early data is looking VERY VERY well for Trump. He is on pace to win FL by about 2-3 points. Slightly better for Trump than I expected...

It just doesn't make sense to me that FL's results did not translate across the Nation as they always have since 1968... The results in general just smell fishy, so we'll have to see what happens in the inevitable court battles in the upcoming days/weeks/...
 
gfm7175 said:
Indeed... not as I expected at all... This is one weird election... I don't expect either side to concede until long legal battles have been fought... that does not bode well for the country...
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Perhaps if you weren't always up for a week on meth and cum-drunk from the donkey show?

Just a friendly suggestion.
 
gfm7175 said:
Here is my official prediction for the upcoming election, as well as my thoughts on each of the "toss-up" States...

https://www.270towin.com/map-images/Q2mbY

Trump will definitely win this election with AT LEAST 300 EC votes, but my official guess is 326-212 as mapped out in the link above... Now, to get into my thoughts about each "toss-up" State:


NEVADA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, but voter fraud might leave him ever so barely shy of doing so once again. I wouldn't be surprised if I end up being wrong about this one, but I do think that this is the year that Nevada finally becomes a win for Team Red.

ARIZONA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. He will win it by about 4 points, and McSally will ride his coattails to victory in the Senate race there.

COLORADO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It has been compromised by Kkkalifornia commies and I don't see a path for Trump to flip it. I would love to be wrong, though...

NEW MEXICO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. I believe that Biden's win margin will be narrower than Clinton's was, but I do not see Trump gaining enough ground from 2016 to flip this State. Again, I would love to be wrong...

NEBRASKA's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag (as he does the other two districts, and the State as a whole). He will win this district by about 3 points.

TEXAS: :laugh: Trump 100% has Texas in the bag, and will win it by at least 7 points. The fact that liberals think that Texas is in play is completely laughable...

IOWA: :laugh: See Texas (above).

MINNESOTA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, as early indicators look very well for him in the Iron Range, and the Twin City suburbs are looking like an area of vote gains for Trump as well. We'll see on this one, but my gut feeling is that it narrowly flips red. Republicans also have a good chance to pick up a Senate seat here.

WISCONSIN: Trump all but has Wisconsin in the bag, and I think that he will win it by around 2-3 points. Early indicators are looking very well for Trump to gain votes in the WOW Counties (Milwaukee suburbs) as well as the Fox Valley region (Oshkosh area).

MICHIGAN: Trump all but has Michigan in the bag, and I see Michigan as being quite similar to Wisconsin's situation... The Senate race here is also looking quite well for Republicans, and would be a pick up for them.

OHIO: :laugh: See Texas (above).

PENNSYLVANIA: Trump all but has Pennsylvania in the bag (even with voter fraud efforts, largely led by Philly). My guess is that Trump wins PA by about 1.5-2.0 points.

NEW HAMPSHIRE: This State could truly go either way in my mind... I'm guessing that Trump gets it narrowly flipped, as NH is likely to follow in the same political shift as Florida and company, but I could be wrong here.

MAINE's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag. I don't see any path for him to win the State at large, however, but I'd love to be wrong...

VIRGINIA: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It, much like Colorado, has become compromised by liberals. I think that Biden will win it with a smaller margin that Clinton did, but I still don't see Trump flipping this one. I would love to be wrong, though...

NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag, and early data from the State is supporting that notion... It seems that Trump will win NC by about 4 points. Tillis should also be able to ride Trump's coattails to victory in the Senate race.

GEORGIA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. It's laughable to think that Dems even have any sort of chance in Georgia... The Republican Senate seats will remain Republican controlled as well...

FLORIDA: Trump 100% has Florida in the bag, and early data is looking VERY VERY well for Trump. He is on pace to win FL by about 2-3 points.


The major problems for Dems this cycle appear to be a rather sizable drop off in the youth vote, a drop off in the black vote, an increase in Republican support in key suburbs, and an increase in the Republican share of both the black and hispanic vote.


TLDR: Democrats are completely fucked, and are simply trying to retain their control over the House at this point, if they can even manage to do THAT much... A huge red wave is coming; Dems better have their shrinks on speed dial because it's gonna be a ROUGH night for them...
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Your prediction that the election was in the bag for Trump and that he would win 326 EC votes was wildly off the mark.

It makes me wonder how many more of your predictions and claims are widely off base.
 
Cypress said:
Your prediction that the election was in the bag for Trump and that he would win 326 EC votes was wildly off the mark.

It makes me wonder how many more of your predictions and claims are widely off base.
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gfm and his sock, Into the Night, are massively ignorant morons.
 
The election faulted... watch Mike Lindell's documentary about it.

Trump was the people's choice... Biden was China's choice.
 
Into the Night said:
YALSA.
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You've lost, sir. You need help and refuse to accept it.

giphy.gif
 
gfm7175 said:
Here is my official prediction for the upcoming election
Click to expand...

This did not age well.

gfm7175 said:
Trump will definitely win this election with AT LEAST 300 EC votes, but my official guess is 326-212 as mapped out in the link above
Click to expand...

There was a slight chance trump could have gotten a bare skin of his teeth Electoral College victory, but 300 was impossible. 326 was extremely impossible. The final number was 232, about where it was expected to be.

I could go state-by-state, but basically put GFM shifted all the state popular votes towards trump by 5%.
 
Walt said:
This did not age well.



There was a slight chance trump could have gotten a bare skin of his teeth Electoral College victory, but 300 was impossible. 326 was extremely impossible. The final number was 232, about where it was expected to be.

I could go state-by-state, but basically put GFM shifted all the state popular votes towards trump by 5%.
Click to expand...
The election faulted due to election fraud by Demonkkkrats. No election was held. IF one would've been held, Trump would've won it in a landslide. I refuse to deny the enthusiasm for Trump that I saw all around me with my own two eyes, and heard with my own two ears. I refuse to deny the void of any sort of enthusiasm for Joebama that I saw all around me with my own two eyes, and the sound of crickets chirping that I heard with my own two ears.
 
Walt said:
This did not age well.



There was a slight chance trump could have gotten a bare skin of his teeth Electoral College victory, but 300 was impossible. 326 was extremely impossible. The final number was 232, about where it was expected to be.

I could go state-by-state, but basically put GFM shifted all the state popular votes towards trump by 5%.
Click to expand...

Random numbers. The election faulted. At least seven States were not able to declare their electoral college members. You are making shit up again.
 
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