Governor Tancredo! Latest Poll!

Ok, so why the HUGE discrepancy in the two polls. Denver Post has Hickenlooper (really?) by 10% over Tanc. What gives?
The Post has been campaigning for Hick from the beginning. I wouldn't trust their poll further than I can throw Hick. I'm waiting, really, for the newest Rasmussen numbers because Magellan is biased towards Rs..
 

Those are some massive shifts in Independent voters. I take polls by the post with a massive truck load of salt. I have a hard time believing Bennet pulled ahead among Independent voters. As for Hick... maybe... but given it is a Post poll, my guess is it is heavily biased in favor of Hick.

As long as Maes stays in, he will likely draw enough from Tancredo to give the election to Hick.
 
Those are some massive shifts in Independent voters. I take polls by the post with a massive truck load of salt. I have a hard time believing Bennet pulled ahead among Independent voters. As for Hick... maybe... but given it is a Post poll, my guess is it is heavily biased in favor of Hick.

As long as Maes stays in, he will likely draw enough from Tancredo to give the election to Hick.


The Post doesn't conduct the polls, Survey USA does. And the last time Survey USA and Rasmussen reported poll results for this race around the same time (the beginning of this month), their results were well within the margin of error and were not all that different.
 
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The Post doesn't conduct the polls, Survey USA does. And the last time Survey USA and Rasmussen reported poll results for this race around the same time (the beginning of this month), their results were well within the margin of error and were not all that different.

Reading the poll in regards to the Senate race, once undecided independents break, don't they usually tend break in the same direction?

"Three weeks ago, Buck led Bennet in the last 9NEWS/Denver Post poll by 5 percentage points, 48-43, primarily on a huge 19-point edge (53-34 percent) among self-described independent voters. That same voting bloc now supports Bennet over Buck, 46-44 percent.

Men are supporting Buck by a 53-42 percent margin while women are supporting Bennet by a 53-40 percent margin"

I've love to get a look at the breakdown of those independent voters who decided for Bennet over the past three weeks.

My guess is that women are driving this. I know this is hard for some to really grasp, but women aren't going to break in droves for a guy with that extreme position on abortion.

The even in cases of rape is going to be a dealbreaker even for republican-leaning suburban married women. And the rape case didn't help matters, especially since it was bound to have put his extreme position on rape into the spotlight.
 
The Post doesn't conduct the polls, Survey USA does. And the last time Survey USA and Rasmussen reported poll results for this race around the same time (the beginning of this month), their results were well within the margin of error and were not all that different.

tell you what... post the Survey USA poll... the questions and results... then we can talk about it not being the Post.

When you go to RealClear Politics website and click on the polls...

Reuters takes you directly to the Reuters poll
Rasmussen takes you directly to the Rasmussen poll
PPP takes you directly to the PPP poll
Magellan takes you directly to the Magellan poll

and the Denver Post/Survey USA poll takes you to an ARTICLE written by the Post talking about the results.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...or_maes_vs_hickenlooper_vs_tancredo-1677.html
 
I'm hurt!! You don't like my beloved Oklahoma where Obama didn't carry a single county? Where we are passing referendums every election against anything socially liberal? Where we are about to elect our first woman governor (even though I can't stand most of her policies)? Where we have two stellar, choking, gagging, football teams to root for? ;)

Seriously, Oklahoma is more of a "I'm here because I was born here" state. I love it and don't ever plan to leave. But it ain't retirement material unless you left here to work and are ready to retire and move back....like several of my cousins have done.
I have been to Oklahoma, you may keep it, thank you, I stayed a summer in Elk City! Pure hell, couldn't wait to get back to KANSAS! now that is bad! Maybe, I should see other parts of the state before I pass judgment based on Elk City!
 
From where I sit it is mainly taxes and education. That's why I'll be voting for the democratic candidate in almost every state office election this cycle....though it won't do any good. Most of them don't have a snowball's chance in Southern California....or the other place....both about the same to me.

Southern California actually has a few surprisingly conservative Republicans.
 
Reading the poll in regards to the Senate race, once undecided independents break, don't they usually tend break in the same direction?

"Three weeks ago, Buck led Bennet in the last 9NEWS/Denver Post poll by 5 percentage points, 48-43, primarily on a huge 19-point edge (53-34 percent) among self-described independent voters. That same voting bloc now supports Bennet over Buck, 46-44 percent.

Men are supporting Buck by a 53-42 percent margin while women are supporting Bennet by a 53-40 percent margin"

I've love to get a look at the breakdown of those independent voters who decided for Bennet over the past three weeks.

My guess is that women are driving this. I know this is hard for some to really grasp, but women aren't going to break in droves for a guy with that extreme position on abortion.

The even in cases of rape is going to be a dealbreaker even for republican-leaning suburban married women. And the rape case didn't help matters, especially since it was bound to have put his extreme position on rape into the spotlight.

It was genius of Republicans to run such an extreme candidate in a race they could've easily won otherwise. Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
 
I have been to Oklahoma, you may keep it, thank you, I stayed a summer in Elk City! Pure hell, couldn't wait to get back to KANSAS! now that is bad! Maybe, I should see other parts of the state before I pass judgment based on Elk City!

LOL....I'd hate it too if I had to live in Elk City. Ugh.... somewhere in the SE or even the NE....great parts of the country. Had to live in Lawton....South Central....and hated it.
 
Those are some massive shifts in Independent voters. I take polls by the post with a massive truck load of salt. I have a hard time believing Bennet pulled ahead among Independent voters. As for Hick... maybe... but given it is a Post poll, my guess is it is heavily biased in favor of Hick.

As long as Maes stays in, he will likely draw enough from Tancredo to give the election to Hick.
That's pretty much my take on it.
 
It was genius of Republicans to run such an extreme candidate in a race they could've easily won otherwise. Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
Maes isn't "extreme" he's simply unqualified. When he's pulling all of 9% there's something to be said. McInnis wasn't "extreme"...

What happened in CO was the Republican Chair didn't have the candidates vetted enough, neither of those two should have gotten to the point where they were the ONLY choices in the Primary. Tancredo only jumped in to try to push whomever won of those two out, but Maes is too stupid to admit defeat. Had he dropped before the 12th, Tanc would have dropped out and the Republican Vacancy Committee could have put somebody else on the ballot.
 
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