The Failure of Money
The Daily Reckoning Sep 26, 2012, 7:10 AM
Since the end of the Gold Standard in 1971, the US dollar has lost over 80 percent of its purchasing power due to the uninhibited money creation of the
Federal Reserve
This is generally true.
In 1971, a house averaged around $12500. Today a house averages around $380,000; thirty times higher.
In 1971, a new car averaged $3472. Today, you are looking at least at $20,100. An EV is twice that, around $40,000.
In 1971, a pound of hamburger cost $0.60. Today, a pound of hamburger is around $5.20.
In 1971, a gallon of gasoline was around $0.36/gal. Today, a gallon of gasoline is over $4.
In 1971, an ounce of fine gold was worth around $44. Today, an ounce of fine gold is worth $1900.
Fiat currency, a system by which a currency only retains its value by “fiat” or decree by a government, leaves a central bank free to create money from thin air, reducing the value of the currency already in circulation.
Correct. As inflation hits everywhere, it also hits the government. They therefore print even more money to cover those expenses. A self feeding spiral resulting in hyperinflation (a cash crash).
Fiat currency has reigned in the last forty years, but every fiat currency that has existed in history has eventually failed. A study of 775 fiat currencies indicates the average life expectancy of fiat currencies is 27 years, with some taking a month to crash and others surviving for centuries.
Basically ever since the Bretton Woods model was rejected by governments running short on cash because of their inability to manage their own money.
The two longest-surviving currencies are the British Pound and the US Dollar, both of which have lost the vast majority of their original value.
Rather irrelevant, since most of that time, these currencies were based on weight of a precious metal, rather than just empty currency with no reference to anything.
The US is also deeply in debt, which encourages it to inflate its currency in order to reduce the dollar-value of that debt. Will the dollar beat the odds and survive? If it fails, what comes next?
No. It cannot survive now. It's only a matter of time. How much time remains is unknown, but because people are already looking around for another currency, it's probably not long.
What comes next? People will simply start using another currency. There is nothing any government can do to stop it.
The biggest contenders:
Gold and silver, traditionally solid currencies since mining gold and silver is difficult and generally takes place at a rate slower than wealth being created through capitalism. Innovation and product improvements create a naturally deflationary environment (think of how expensive computers were in the 60's compared to now!) that is healthy for the economy. Cash remains king, as prices slowly fall due to innovation and more products and services being offered via capitalism. Gold's purity and weight are easily checked by the simplest of equipment. It is very difficult to counterfeit gold. Silver is usually the day to day currency in such a system, since gold is worth so much.
The SDR (or Special Drawing Right), an international trading currency that is based on a basket of other currencies. This 'world bank' currency is moving toward a gold standard. Of fiat currencies, though, it currently has the cleanest balance sheet. If it moves to a gold standard, then international trade will once again take place in gold and silver, already mentioned above. Even if it doesn't turn to a gold standard, it's use will force nations to come to a reckoning about their own currencies.
Digital currency, specifically Bitcoin (although your idea of Fuckcoin could be popular!). This currency is based on a block chain and cannot be arbitrarily printed by any government or indeed anyone. Once all objects ('coins') that satisfy the block chain algorithm are found, that number of available coins in the block chain will never increase any more. It is easy to use tiny fractions of a Coin to conduct transactions, which are done electronically via multi-time pad encryption, which itself is protected by a public/private key encryption system to send the pad (the same sort of encryption used by banks and SSL websites today (anything with an https:// in the URL). Already, Bitcoin is becoming popular as a currency in Japan, some localized areas of the States, and in some localized places in Europe.
Digital currency has some major problems to overcome however. It requires access to the internet to conduct transactions at all. If a password to a Wallet is lost, there is no recovering the lost Coins that are in it. The number of available Coins are indeed reduced (and more valuable), but you won't be able to take part in it due to the locked Wallet. Further, digital currency is not easily understood. There are many misconceptions around it, including such things as it's not 'real' currency (it is), it's controlled by some mysterious 'owner' or 'illuminati' (it isn't), the general lack of knowledge on how to set up a Wallet or conduct a transaction, or why the concept works as a currency (which requires a fair amount of programming and cryptography knowledge). As a result, digital currency tends be favored by tech savvy people, and few others.
In my opinion, gold and silver will be the future currency. It has worked in the past and there is nothing about it that prevents modern banking practices of handling loans, contracts, credit and debit cards, electronic transactions (the life blood of places like Amazon and thousands of other businesses selling stuff on line), or practical day to day use. You can fill up your car and pay cash using a few silver coins, or buy a house and use about a dozen gold coins. All very practical amounts to deal with. With electronic transactions still available via debit and credit cards, you would swipe your card in the gas pump the same way you do now.
Already some nations are already on or moving to a gold standard (which includes a silver standard) including Russia and Iran. More are preparing. These include China, and the UK, and Germany (there is a definite possibility of Germany breaking away from the European Union) and returning to using the Mark again, based on a gold standard. If that happens, life in places like Italy and Greece will get quite earnest, since they are economic basket cases depending on Germany for...well...everything.
I think we could see a return to gold and silver as a widely accepted currency in our lifetime. I also think that most people are not prepared to handle a change in currency.
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I am not familiar with this magazine, but yes. it's time to get out of the dollar and protect your wealth. Buy real estate, diamonds, fine art, gold, silver, anything that will hold value in these coming days. Fiat currency such as the dollar ain't it.
The Failure of Money originally appeared in the Daily Reckoning. The Daily Reckoning, published by Agora Financial provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. ".
https://www.businessinsider.com/the-failure-of-money-2012-9
Like I said, I am not familiar with the Daily Reckoning, but it sounds like their advice is relatively solid.