Inverted Yield Curve

Geeko Sportivo said:
Nothing to argue about here from my limited knowledge of markets perspective!

I would just like to ad that when you mention "THE MARKET" there are a lot of markets- the Commodities Market- The Stock Market- The Bond Market- and others that are all uniquely different in who invests in those markets and the way they measure indicators and make predictions etc.

The Yield Curve is mainly dealing with the Bond Market and their longer term yield predictions and Indicators.
Click to expand...

I was referring to equities but in reality I could have left that out in the sense it's not like people see the yield curve inverted and start selling off their stock portfolio.
 
Does it really matter when legislators can command and control our economy through policies public?

All public policies that promote the general welfare should have a multiplier of Two (2) or more.
 
cawacko said:
The 2yr/10yr yield curve briefly inverted yesterday. Since 1955 the yield curve has inverted before every recession. Doesn't necessarily mean a recession is imminent, I read the medium lag is around 20 months. Nor does it mean a recession is guaranteed, there has a been a false positive previously and there are some people arguing "this time it's different." But for followers of the economy and the market the inverted yield curve is big news.
Click to expand...

the demise of the petrodollar is a big deal.

we should turn inward and abandon " international market pricing" of our domestically produced goods. A victory guardian on a national level.

Our survival depends on this action right now.
 
cawacko said:
I was referring to equities but in reality I could have left that out in the sense it's not like people see the yield curve inverted and start selling off their stock portfolio.
Click to expand...

Thanks! I was just noticing some of the contributors here in your thread were referring to the Stock Market and their investments in it.

Good thread though! If you invest in long-term stocks, you should keep an eye on the bond market. If you invest in real estate, you should keep an eye on the bond market. If you invest in bonds or bond ETFs, you definitely should keep an eye on the bond market.

The bond market is a great predictor of inflation and the direction of the economy, both of which directly affect the prices of everything from stocks and real estate to household appliances and food. A basic understanding of short-term versus long-term interest rates and the yield curve can help you make a broad range of financial and investing decisions.
 
danielpalos said:
Does it really matter when legislators can command and control our economy through policies public?

All public policies that promote the general welfare should have a multiplier of Two (2) or more.
Click to expand...

When you are posting in English, Dan, adjectives are placed before the nouns.

When you are posting in Spanish, adjectives (descriptive adjectives) are placed after. the nouns.

De nada.
 
Earl said:
When you are posting in English, Dan, adjectives are placed before the nouns.

When you are posting in Spanish, adjectives (descriptive adjectives) are placed after. the nouns.

De nada.
Click to expand...
Women are welcome to a free shave or wax if I am wrong. Wanna bet, chics?
 
cawacko said:
I don't think that an inconsistent position at all. We've had massive monetary (and fiscal) stimulus for close to two years now. If there were no negative repercussions we would just do it forever right? I'm not sure who you follow or read when it comes to economic issues but I've not seen anyone predicting dire consequences. I have seen people say that depending on how the Fed handles this that it could lead to recession. I don't believe too many people would disagree with that.

I had Gonzaga beating Arizona in the Finals. Needless to say my bracket will not be among the winners.
Click to expand...

Longer than two years, had a huge role in bringing the country out of the Great Recession of the early Obama years, it has been a bull market give or take since 2009. And when people start talking recession and stagnation, it implies dire circumstances, remnants of the 1970's and early 1980's

And if you really are an investor, little tip for you, you are never going to win a NCAA bracket pool picking two number one seeds in the final game, overall, it doesn't happen that often, and if it did, a whole lot of other people will have it, whole exercise is risk/reward
 
archives said:
Longer than two years, had a huge role in bringing the country out of the Great Recession of the early Obama years, it has been a bull market give or take since 2009. And when people start talking recession and stagnation, it implies dire circumstances, remnants of the 1970's and early 1980's

And if you really are an investor, little tip for you, you are never going to win a NCAA bracket pool picking two number one seeds in the final game, overall, it doesn't happen that often, and if it did, a whole lot of other people will have it, whole exercise is risk/reward
Click to expand...

This from the obvious welfare recipient. You just cannot make this shit up!
 
Destroying this global economy we have built over the last 40 or so years as we split between East (lead by China) and West (lead by America) on its own is guarantied to cause massive economic dislocation. That America is collapsing socially is a further guaranty. Then too we are very close to ruining the dollar through abuse, once that happens America is a desperately poor nation for as far as they eye can see.
 
archives said:
Longer than two years, had a huge role in bringing the country out of the Great Recession of the early Obama years, it has been a bull market give or take since 2009. And when people start talking recession and stagnation, it implies dire circumstances, remnants of the 1970's and early 1980's

And if you really are an investor, little tip for you, you are never going to win a NCAA bracket pool picking two number one seeds in the final game, overall, it doesn't happen that often, and if it did, a whole lot of other people will have it, whole exercise is risk/reward
Click to expand...

Yes, we've had easy money Fed policies for over a decade but currently they are combined with massive fiscal stimulus. Recessions clearly aren't a good thing but I don't consider that prediction a dire circumstance (compared to say a near depression). And that's been the talk in financials markets for awhile, how can Powell deal with inflation while trying to create a soft landing in the economy (or is it even possible).

I asked my buddy who is my go to for all things financial his thoughts on the yield curve inverting and if this will lead to recession and his response was "ask me again when the Fed starts to unwind its purchases of $9T of long duration bonds".

I picked them because they have F'd me in the past and figured they would win if I didn't pick them this time. This year you have three blue bloods and a sort of blue blood in 'Nova. Picking underdogs wasn't going to win you the pool.
 
Phantasmal said:
Just what it says. I never wish for the market to fail so I can profit, that’s Trumpian.
Click to expand...

No, it’s Polisquaker:


Polltaker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top