Into the Night
Verified User
The Church of Global Warming denies mathematics as well:
Statistical mathematics requires closed dataset. It should be published so people can check the work. Selection is done by randN, or the same kind of random number as used for a deck of cards. Once you select an item, it cannot be selected again. It cannot weighted, it cannot be interpolated. The data used must be raw data (and published). Quoting global temperature numbers from government or any other source is a randU (a made up number).
Further, a variance must be declared and justified. This is used to calculate the margin of error value. For temperature, this can be as high as 20 deg/mile. This sort of variance can be easily seen across weather fronts, changes in surface or topology, mountain wave effects, localized convective activity (thunderstorms), available current flow, etc.
Measuring points must be uniformly distributed as well. Thermometers aren't. They are concentrated in cities and along roads (they must be serviced!), along shipping lanes, and are at the surface only (very few measure anything above or below the surface, all part of Earth).
Statistical math also makes use of random numbers (such as randN and paired randR). This takes away the natural ability to predict inherent in mathematics in general. Statistical math is NOT a crystal ball by any stretch of the imagination. It's a summary method only. Indeed, a statistical analysis conducted on the SAME data and using the same chosen variance will produce a different result (because of the nature of randN).
When applied across the globe, the number of thermometers used (if uniformly placed) will result in one thermometer for an area about the size of Virginia.
Mathematically, then, one can say that any attempt to calculate a global temperature from available thermometer data is GUESSING.
But WAIT, I here the Believer cry...what about satellites?
Turns out that satellites are NOT Magick Boxes. They cannot measure the temperature of Earth. The only method available to a satellite is making use of the light radiating from Earth, and attempting to apply the Stefan-Boltzmann law. Unfortunately, you don't know the emissivity of Earth, so you don't know how much of that light is reflection, refraction, or is emitted from Earth according to Stefan-Boltzmann.
The only way to measure the emissivity of any surface is to first accurately know the temperature of that surface, then compare it to idealistic black bodies and white bodies (perfect absorbers and emitters, or perfect reflectors).
Infrared cameras, used to measure temperature in industry, cannot measure absolute temperature. They can only show whether something is warmer or colder than something else. They are great for looking for leaks in insulation in a house, or to spot an engine cylinder that isn't firing, and other such handy uses, but relative temperature (comparing one temperature to another at the same time) is not an absolute temperature, which is required to measure the temperature of the Earth.
In other words, it is simply not possible to measure the temperature of the Earth. We simply don't have enough thermometers, and it's not possible to build enough thermometers. And who would read them all?
Yet the Church of Global Warming claims to know the temperature of Earth (but never actually say what it is!).
Statistical mathematics requires closed dataset. It should be published so people can check the work. Selection is done by randN, or the same kind of random number as used for a deck of cards. Once you select an item, it cannot be selected again. It cannot weighted, it cannot be interpolated. The data used must be raw data (and published). Quoting global temperature numbers from government or any other source is a randU (a made up number).
Further, a variance must be declared and justified. This is used to calculate the margin of error value. For temperature, this can be as high as 20 deg/mile. This sort of variance can be easily seen across weather fronts, changes in surface or topology, mountain wave effects, localized convective activity (thunderstorms), available current flow, etc.
Measuring points must be uniformly distributed as well. Thermometers aren't. They are concentrated in cities and along roads (they must be serviced!), along shipping lanes, and are at the surface only (very few measure anything above or below the surface, all part of Earth).
Statistical math also makes use of random numbers (such as randN and paired randR). This takes away the natural ability to predict inherent in mathematics in general. Statistical math is NOT a crystal ball by any stretch of the imagination. It's a summary method only. Indeed, a statistical analysis conducted on the SAME data and using the same chosen variance will produce a different result (because of the nature of randN).
When applied across the globe, the number of thermometers used (if uniformly placed) will result in one thermometer for an area about the size of Virginia.
Mathematically, then, one can say that any attempt to calculate a global temperature from available thermometer data is GUESSING.
But WAIT, I here the Believer cry...what about satellites?
Turns out that satellites are NOT Magick Boxes. They cannot measure the temperature of Earth. The only method available to a satellite is making use of the light radiating from Earth, and attempting to apply the Stefan-Boltzmann law. Unfortunately, you don't know the emissivity of Earth, so you don't know how much of that light is reflection, refraction, or is emitted from Earth according to Stefan-Boltzmann.
The only way to measure the emissivity of any surface is to first accurately know the temperature of that surface, then compare it to idealistic black bodies and white bodies (perfect absorbers and emitters, or perfect reflectors).
Infrared cameras, used to measure temperature in industry, cannot measure absolute temperature. They can only show whether something is warmer or colder than something else. They are great for looking for leaks in insulation in a house, or to spot an engine cylinder that isn't firing, and other such handy uses, but relative temperature (comparing one temperature to another at the same time) is not an absolute temperature, which is required to measure the temperature of the Earth.
In other words, it is simply not possible to measure the temperature of the Earth. We simply don't have enough thermometers, and it's not possible to build enough thermometers. And who would read them all?
Yet the Church of Global Warming claims to know the temperature of Earth (but never actually say what it is!).