they do not show intent of Manaforts
Yes, they do. Asking Kilimnik to give the data to Deripaska, to whom Manafort is no one, was done with the intent of Deripaska to give that data to his troll armies.
unsupported leaps of logic
Not at all, and confirmed by Manafort's text messages.
or to pay off his debts
So then it's still collusion because Manafort was chair of Trump's campaign and he was sharing confidential campaign information with Russians.
Paying off a debt and collusion can both exist in the same space.
"Collude with us and we'll forgive your debt." Or "I'll collude with you so you'll forgive my debt".
How was the debt forgiven? With collusion.