something new at RCP....

Leonthecat said:
HERE COMES PASTOR PIMP...
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Jarod said:
Do you think the polls are intentionally wrong in HRC's favor?
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the two that show her twice as far ahead as every other poll conducted across the nation......yes, Jarod.......I think they are intentionally wrong in HRC's favor........just as I think you are intentionally and habitually wrong in HRC's favor.......they may be paid shills, or like you they may be volunteer shills, but you are all still shills......
 
Leonthecat said:
In a four-way race, Democrat Clinton holds an 11-point lead over Republican Trump among likely voters, 48 percent to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 2 percent. In a two-way contest without Johnson and Stein, Clinton is ahead by 10 points, 51 percent to 41 percent.
Note, not every poll shows Clinton with an advantage nearly that large. Yesterday, the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll found a far more competitive race, with the former Secretary of State leading by just four points, with Trump drawing support from GOP partisans – including many of those who believe he’s guilty of sexually assaulting women.

Obviously, there’s a pretty significant difference between a 4-point race and an 11-point race, which is why averages help paint a broader picture. Polling aggregators now put Clinton’s lead between five and seven points. In the modern polling era, no candidate has ever overcome that kind of deficit in in an election’s closing weeks.

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/latest-polls-show-trump-behind-clinton-the-2016-drivers-seat
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Jarod said:
Do you think the polls are intentionally wrong in HRC's favor?
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I believe they are purposely missing the REAL data and that their polls are intended to PULL in Hillary's favor. As the election gets closer, the polls will tend to have more honesty in their data because they do not want to look stupid at the end.

Most of this data is missing the dissatisfied millions who seldom come out to vote or who have no party affiliation and who want change and see Trump as that change agent. The media and pollsters see this which is why they are flinging so much mud on the wall hoping some of the character assassinations will stick.

But Trump is unlike the limp wristed Republican establishment candidates and flings it right back....which gets him more supporters.
 
Jarod said:
PiMP has a solid track record with his predictions.

Will Carl Rove be on Fox News election night again this year? I somehow doubt it.
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So do you. You said Trump wouldn't be the nominee and that Jeb would.

And you aren't that confident in Hillary that you are willing to put up a month long ban if she loses
 
PostmodernProphet said:
the two that show her twice as far ahead as every other poll conducted across the nation......yes, Jarod.......I think they are intentionally wrong in HRC's favor........just as I think you are intentionally and habitually wrong in HRC's favor.......they may be paid shills, or like you they may be volunteer shills, but you are all still shills......
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So, in your feelings, who is ahead in this race?
 
cawacko said:
Jarod, why don't you accept the ban bet?
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What is the ban bet?

I was never offered a ban bet...

I never said it was 100%, that would be silly with 19 days left lots could happen. I am with Nate Silver, who is much smarter than me, the odds are about 90%.
 
Crooked ILLary said:
Let's be clear. It is not a bet. It is a challenge to see how certain he is that this election is as he said last week "over".

It would appear from his hedging that he really doesn't believe it.
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Give him odds, a week for a month or something along those lines
 
Jarod said:
What is the ban bet?

I was never offered a ban bet...

I never said it was 100%, that would be silly with 19 days left lots could happen. I am with Nate Silver, who is much smarter than me, the odds are about 90%.
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I thought he was proposing a bet
 
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