We'll see. If the Dems want a semi-permanent national majority, then need to continue to win, and appeal in the mountain west, and the midwest.
Leaving party labels aside though, the thesis is fundamental correct. Over time - with a few bumps up and down - the country becomes more and more progressive. More center-left. People almost take if for granted now, that gay relationships are tolerable, and even that civil unions should be permissible. It was a mere four years ago when Cons were laughing at my support of Howard Dean, saying that the GOP could easily smear him for signing gay civil unions into law.
It's simply taken for granted today, that sexual harrasment is wrong. And that Federal Laws were needed to help stop it. 30 years ago, it wasn't that way. People simply take it for granted that the environment needs to be protected, and that individuals and business have to be regulated to that end. It's only a matter of time, before some form of universal health care is adopted. Etc.
Leaving party labels aside though, the thesis is fundamental correct. Over time - with a few bumps up and down - the country becomes more and more progressive. More center-left. People almost take if for granted now, that gay relationships are tolerable, and even that civil unions should be permissible. It was a mere four years ago when Cons were laughing at my support of Howard Dean, saying that the GOP could easily smear him for signing gay civil unions into law.
It's simply taken for granted today, that sexual harrasment is wrong. And that Federal Laws were needed to help stop it. 30 years ago, it wasn't that way. People simply take it for granted that the environment needs to be protected, and that individuals and business have to be regulated to that end. It's only a matter of time, before some form of universal health care is adopted. Etc.
The re-emergence of the emerging Democratic majority.
John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira * June 19, 2007
[T]his election signals the end of a fleeting Republican revival, prompted by the Bush administration's response to the September 11 terrorist attacks, and the return to political and demographic trends that were leading to a Democratic and center-left majority in the United States. In 2006 the turn to the Democrats went well beyond those offices directly concerned with the war in Iraq or affected by congressional scandals. While Democrats picked up 30 House seats and six Senate seats, they also won six governorships, netted 321 state legislative seats, and recaptured legislative chambers in eight states. That's the kind of sweep that Republicans enjoyed in 1994, which led to Republican control of Congress and of the nation's statehouses for the remainder of the decade.
Just as important as these victories is who voted for Democrats in 2006. With few exceptions, the groups were exactly those that had begun trending Democratic in the 1990s and had contributed to Al Gore's popular-vote victory over George W. Bush in 2000. These groups, which we described in our 2002 book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, included women, professionals, and minorities. But in 2006 they also included two groups our book slighted or ignored altogether: younger voters (those born after 1977) and independents. These voters can generally be expected to continue backing Democrats.... What one sees in the 2006 election is not simply a revolt against the administration's conduct of the war but a return to the political perceptions of the two parties that was inclining the electorate before September 2001 toward a Democratic majority. Voters didn't simply reject the administration for its conduct of the war; angered by its conduct of the war, they reembraced a center-left worldview on a whole range of issues. The electorate of 2006 was like the electorate of 2000 -- only more so....
In the 2006 congressional election, libertarian-leaning independents played a decisive role in Democratic victories in prairie and non-Pacific western states. In the Montana Senate race, independents voted 59 percent to 35 percent for Democrat Jon Tester against incumbent Conrad Burns, who had been linked to the Jack Abramoff scandal. In Arizona they strongly backed Gov. Janet Napolitano and even Democratic Senate challenger Jim Pederson, who lost to incumbent Jon Kyl. In Minnesota, where onetime Perot backer Jesse Ventura was elected governor in 1998 on the Reform Party ticket, independents backed Democratic Senate candidate Amy Klobuchar over conservative Republican Mark Kennedy by 63 percent to 28 percent. Independents also played a role in Democratic House pickups in Colorado, Kansas, Connecticut, and New Hampshire (where 44 percent of voters identify themselves as independents).......
http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=back_to_the_future061807