Trump needs a massive polling error to win

C

Concart

Well-known member
Contributor
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.
 
2016 taught me that electoral college flukes are in the realm of possibility, so I will not be cracking open any champagne yet.

On the flip side, we have to admit, this very fat and stupid man has been a godsend for the professional comedian trade.
 
Cypress said:
2016 taught me that electoral college flukes are in the realm of possibility, so I will not be cracking open any champagne yet.

On the flip side, we have to admit, this very fat and stupid man has been a godsend for the professional comedian trade.
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And the makers of Zanax, Zoloft, Latuda...
 
Concart said:
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.
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lol. trump is gonna blow hot loads all over Biden's dumb face.
 
Concart said:
Highly unlikely, but not nearly enough to make a difference. Biden is way too far ahead in too many states. Prepare for disappointment. I wouldn't want you to hurt yourself.
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fake polls, dumbass. to make it seem believable when dems steal the election.
 
Cypress said:
2016 taught me that electoral college flukes are in the realm of possibility, so I will not be cracking open any champagne yet.

On the flip side, we have to admit, this very fat and stupid man has been a godsend for the professional comedian trade.
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There was no electoral college fluke. Trump won a majority just like every other President except Jefferson - 1800 and JQA - 1824 including your nigger.
 
AssHatZombie said:
that's not necessary.
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Santa Claus? The tooth fairy? You've given a perfect example of why your conspiracy theories are so utterly absurd. They rely on the silence and complicity of thousands of people with no skin in the game. It's laughable.
 
Concart said:
Santa Claus? The tooth fairy? You've given a perfect example of why your conspiracy theories are so utterly absurd. They rely on the silence and complicity of thousands of people with no skin in the game. It's laughable.
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not really. a few corrupt polling place counters or "mystery ballot finders" can swing the whole thing.
 
Biden +7.2 on RCP.

Florida is thin Biden +0.9

PA Biden + 1.2

Both within the margin of error.

If Trump takes both, he has a chance.

If Biden takes Florida, Trump's chances dwindle to very small.

We should know the Florida results tonight.

There are a lot of Trump fans who will not take part in a poll.

Fat Lady is still warming up her voice.
 
Trump has narrowed the gap in recent days.

RCP polling averages in toss up States:

Wisconsin Biden +6.7

North Carolina Trump +0.2

Michigan Biden +4.2

Ohio Trump +1.4

Minnesota Biden +4.3

Iowa Trump +2.0

Arizona Biden +0.9
 
Concart said:
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.
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Polling is fake, meant to suppress the Republican vote. It is utter useless garbage.

Trump will win... easily...
 
PoliTalker said:
Trump has narrowed the gap in recent days.

RCP polling averages in toss up States:

Wisconsin Biden +6.7

North Carolina Trump +0.2

Michigan Biden +4.2

Ohio Trump +1.4

Minnesota Biden +4.3

Iowa Trump +2.0

Arizona Biden +0.9
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Nothing has "narrowed".... polls have just removed at least some of their Dem oversampling... This is simply called "Act 3"
 
AssHatZombie said:
not really. a few corrupt polling place counters or "mystery ballot finders" can swing the whole thing.
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No. Your claim is that pollsters are running cover for systematic Democratic voter fraud. it requires a massive conspiracy involving hundreds of people in multiple states, along with pollsters manipulating numbers at exactly the correct rate. It's laughable. The polls suggest that in Pennsylvania for example, Biden will win by somewhere in the neighborhood of half a million plus votes. That isn't a few well placed counters or ballot finders. It requires systematic wholesale voter fraud.
 
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