Trump needs a massive polling error to win

It would not have to be "massive." RCP gives Biden a 2.3% lead in 6 top battleground states.
FL: 0.9
NC: 0.2
PA: 1.2
AZ: 0.9

All within the margin of error (except WI and MI). Any error could benefit Biden as well as Trump.

Yes, because two Republican polls came out in the last day of the election. Reputable poll aggregators don't even count them. Pennsylvania is not 1.2 for Biden. That's laughable.
 
Classic dimtard babble. Go back to shill school, faggot. But, to be honest, I'm AKA your worst nightmare. Now take you a healthy swig of this:

elixir-de-spa-miniature-bottle-5-cl.jpg

Wow, you called me gay!!!!! Man where do you come up with this fresh material? Amazing. My worst nightmare? Responding to a retard? No, I call that amusement.
 
Wow, you called me gay!!!!! Man where do you come up with this fresh material? Amazing. My worst nightmare? Responding to a retard? No, I call that amusement.

Why would anyone insult gays by using that term on a cunt like you?
 
Wow, you called me gay!!!!! Man where do you come up with this fresh material? Amazing. My worst nightmare? Responding to a retard? No, I call that amusement.

I didn't call you gay, I called you a faggot. Now go choke on a horse dick.
 
Yes, because two Republican polls came out in the last day of the election. Reputable poll aggregators don't even count them. Pennsylvania is not 1.2 for Biden. That's laughable.

Which polls are the Republican polls? I'm not sure two would make much difference in the 14 or so polls RCP uses for PA.

Trump is up +2 in two polls and +1 in another. Every other poll has Biden in the lead. That 1.2% probably does not include those polls (like Trafalgar) because RCP excludes those with questionable methodology.
 
I think Trump* needs two massive polling errors, one in PA and one in AZ. ( I guess the one in AZ does not have to be that massive.)
 
Which polls are the Republican polls? I'm not sure two would make much difference in the 14 or so polls RCP uses for PA.

Trump is up +2 in two polls and +1 in another. Every other poll has Biden in the lead. That 1.2% probably does not include those polls (like Trafalgar) because RCP excludes those with questionable methodology.

They only use the last few days. Trafalgar is literally a Republican pollster and Susqhehana has gone from a decent pollster to a totally partisan pollster. In fact, it's THREE Republican polls out of six total polls that were used for this average. Insider advantage is also.

RCP includes them but notes them, everyone else ignores them, as they should. Last five non-partisan polls show Biden with a 4-5 point lead, which is pretty consistent with earlier polling. If you average the six polls that are shown, they average 1.2% for Biden.
 
Close enough. That's your claim. I have no idea how your warped mind comes up with the logistics, but they are similar to what I just discussed.

its not close. the degree of poll error does not need to perfectly echo the degree of malfeasance. people don't dig that deep.

people will just say "no way, biden was supposed to win. this is bullshit."

also, fake polls play into peoples need to be in agreement with the herd, and manipulates them thatly.
 
its not close. the degree of poll error does not need to perfectly echo the degree of malfeasance. people don't dig that deep.

people will just say "no way, biden was supposed to win. this is bullshit."

also, fake polls play into peoples need to be in agreement with the herd, and manipulates them thatly.

Once again, apparently you've forgotten what your claim was. Understandable. You claimed that the polls are intended to provide cover for Democratic voter cheating. Not THIS time, but always. Polls are in alignment with results, predicting a winner 80% of the time, and off by well les than 5% on average. So your post is bullshit. What a shock.
 
Once again, apparently you've forgotten what your claim was. Understandable. You claimed that the polls are intended to provide cover for Democratic voter cheating. Not THIS time, but always. Polls are in alignment with results, predicting a winner 80% of the time, and off by well les than 5% on average. So your post is bullshit. What a shock.

you're adding stuff to what I said.

it's just this time.

you're strawmanning hard.
 
For once I agree with “TA,” people put it much faith in election polls, and the irony is that there are new ones every day, if you wait long enough anyone can find a poll to support what they want to believe.

If there is one benefit to Trump winning, and I’d say the only benefit, it is that all political polling will immediately become obsolete

find it? they fund it. to make people want to be in the "winner group".

it's a manipulation of sheep's need to conform.
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

I'm going to be upset- IF BIDEN DON'T TURN 3 or more Red states Blue- AND WIN THE SENATE BACK FOR THE DEMOCRATS!

I may go full Trumptard! LOL!
 
this will probably end with lawyers and riots, and be no end at all, just continuation by other means.

So, polls have been accurate until 2020, when all of them suddenly become deep state providing cover for Democrats insidious plot to steal the election. Do I have that right? LOL at you.
 
I'm going to be upset- IF BIDEN DON'T TURN 3 or more Red states Blue- AND WIN THE SENATE BACK FOR THE DEMOCRATS!

I may go full Trumptard! LOL!

I think the angst on the side of the Dems is understandable but no well founded. At this point in 2008, Obama led in the national polls by 7.3% No one was worried, because that national lead was way too large for McCain to overcome. Obama at that time had less than a two point margin in Florida, and 2.5% in Ohio. Everyone needs to relax. With this turnout, everything will be fine.
 
I think the angst on the side of the Dems is understandable but no well founded. At this point in 2008, Obama led in the national polls by 7.3% No one was worried, because that national lead was way too large for McCain to overcome. Obama at that time had less than a two point margin in Florida, and 2.5% in Ohio. Everyone needs to relax. With this turnout, everything will be fine.

I think the votes are out there- I just hope they are all counted!

The FBI and Microsoft have already isolated those Russian Servers from the Internet- that were threatening to take over the Polling site computers, Hospitals, and etc.

So, I do feel better about that.
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

Voter enthusiasm greatly favors Democrats and Biden.
 
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