Trump needs a massive polling error to win

Trump has narrowed the gap in recent days.

RCP polling averages in toss up States:

Wisconsin Biden +6.7

North Carolina Trump +0.2

Michigan Biden +4.2

Ohio Trump +1.4

Minnesota Biden +4.3

Iowa Trump +2.0

Arizona Biden +0.9

Those numbers were slanted significantly by the late Trafalgar polling in those states. You'll notice that Silver won't even bother to account for them, they are bought and paid for by the Republican party.
 
Polling doesn't decided elections, voting does. That makes the premise of this thread a complete logical fallacy.

No, it makes it exactly correct. Do you think before you post? That is the whole premise of the thread. The polls have to be wrong for Trump to win.
 
No. Your claim is that pollsters are running cover for systematic Democratic voter fraud. it requires a massive conspiracy involving hundreds of people in multiple states, along with pollsters manipulating numbers at exactly the correct rate. It's laughable. The polls suggest that in Pennsylvania for example, Biden will win by somewhere in the neighborhood of half a million plus votes. That isn't a few well placed counters or ballot finders. It requires systematic wholesale voter fraud.

no. that's not exactly my theory.
 
No, it makes it exactly correct. Do you think before you post? That is the whole premise of the thread. The polls have to be wrong for Trump to win.

The polls are irrelevant for Trump to win. If there were no polls it would make no difference to the outcome. If there were three times as many polls it would make no difference to the outcome. The polls have nothing to do with the outcome, the vote by state does.
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

I’d disagree, Trump will win Florida, NC, Texas, and Georgia, he has to, and we have been hearing another those States turning Blue for the last four elections and they never even come close. But Trump also has to win Arizona and Pennsylvania given Biden will carry Wisc, Mich, Minn, NH, Nevada, it will be a nail bitter, not definitively decided for a week or so, and then the Trump litigation will start.

Let me add, I hope I am wrong
 
The polls are irrelevant for Trump to win. If there were no polls it would make no difference to the outcome. If there were three times as many polls it would make no difference to the outcome. The polls have nothing to do with the outcome, the vote by state does.

For once I agree with “TA,” people put it much faith in election polls, and the irony is that there are new ones every day, if you wait long enough anyone can find a poll to support what they want to believe.

If there is one benefit to Trump winning, and I’d say the only benefit, it is that all political polling will immediately become obsolete
 
The polls are irrelevant for Trump to win. If there were no polls it would make no difference to the outcome. If there were three times as many polls it would make no difference to the outcome. The polls have nothing to do with the outcome, the vote by state does.

And if wishes were fishes.

There ARE polls, And those polls would have be off significantly for Trump to win. Which part of that are you having trouble understanding?
 
For once I agree with “TA,” people put it much faith in election polls, and the irony is that there are new ones every day, if you wait long enough anyone can find a poll to support what they want to believe.

If there is one benefit to Trump winning, and I’d say the only benefit, it is that all political polling will immediately become obsolete

If you had access to information that would pick a winner 80% of the time in a sporting event, you'd be a rich man. I put faith in science, math, statistics and probabilities, not poll.
 
2016 taught me that electoral college flukes are in the realm of possibility, so I will not be cracking open any champagne yet.

On the flip side, we have to admit, this very fat and stupid man has been a godsend for the professional comedian trade.

unless you get cancelled.
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

Butthurt dimtard babbloney.
 
If you had access to information that would pick a winner 80% of the time in a sporting event, you'd be a rich man. I put faith in science, math, statistics and probabilities, not poll.

But polls are “science, math, statistics, and probabilities,” and in a one time event as an election, that 20% is huge

Currently the betting odds, which takes into account probability based on actual wagering has it a much closer race than the usual polls (https://www.oddschecker.com/us/insi...of-wagers-this-weekend-on-trump-beating-biden)
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

Prove he "stole" the last one cunt mouth. You people will say any stupid shit that comes into your head won't you?
 
Oh my! Trump will never beat Hillary now!

Wow, that's the first time I've ever heard that. Oh wait, I'm wrong, it's the 10,347th time. It is 2020. It is a FACT that there would have to be a massive polling error for Trump to win. If you believe there is a massive polling error, that's fine. But I don't think you are capable of even a shallow thought. Common troll. Not a very good one either. Which one are you AKA?
 
But polls are “science, math, statistics, and probabilities,” and in a one time event as an election, that 20% is huge

Currently the betting odds, which takes into account probability based on actual wagering has it a much closer race than the usual polls (https://www.oddschecker.com/us/insi...of-wagers-this-weekend-on-trump-beating-biden)

Exactly. Waging is for suckers. The odds are set by the amount of money wagered on either side. Anyone who gets less than 10/1 and bets on Trump is giving their money away. This is why I love to play poker.
 
That's it folks. Trump wins this election only if there is a built in error in basically every state that is being contested. Not a 2016 polling error. Not an error in a couple of states with similar demographics. Nope, it has to be a foundational polling error.

Here's the bottom line. In the 538 projections, Biden is favored in Florida, NC, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. If he wins just ONE of those states, the election is over. Biden is favored 4-1 in Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden has a better chance to win Texas or Ohio than Trump has of winning Pennsylvania. So this is simply not doable without that major polling error.

My prediction, Biden gets 351 electoral votes, and barely loses out on Ohio and Texas.

Take a deep breath and relax. There is no reason to believe Trump can steal this election. If the polls are wrong, so be it, but if not, this thing is over.

It would not have to be "massive." RCP gives Biden a 2.3% lead in 6 top battleground states.
FL: 0.9
NC: 0.2
PA: 1.2
AZ: 0.9

All within the margin of error (except WI and MI). Any error could benefit Biden as well as Trump.
 
Exactly. Waging is for suckers. The odds are set by the amount of money wagered on either side. Anyone who gets less than 10/1 and bets on Trump is giving their money away. This is why I love to play poker.

Prove he "stole" the last election cuntcart
 
Wow, that's the first time I've ever heard that. Oh wait, I'm wrong, it's the 10,347th time. It is 2020. It is a FACT that there would have to be a massive polling error for Trump to win. If you believe there is a massive polling error, that's fine. But I don't think you are capable of even a shallow thought. Common troll. Not a very good one either. Which one are you AKA?

Classic dimtard babble. Go back to shill school, faggot. But, to be honest, I'm AKA your worst nightmare. Now take you a healthy swig of this:

elixir-de-spa-miniature-bottle-5-cl.jpg
 
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