Declassified Excerpts Released by the White House on July 18, 2003
Key Judgments (from October 2002 NIE)
Confidence Levels for Selected Key Judgments in This Estimate
High Confidence:
* Iraq is continuing, and in some areas expanding, its chemical, biological, nuclear and missile programs contrary to UN resolutions.
* We are not detecting portions of these weapons programs.
* Iraq possesses proscribed chemical and biological weapons and missiles.
* Iraq could make a nuclear weapon in months to a year once it acquires sufficient weapons-grade fissile material.
Moderate Confidence:
* Iraq does not yet have a nuclear weapon or sufficient material to make one but is likely to have a weapon by 2007 to 2009. (see INR alternative view, page 84).
Low Confidence:
* When Saddam would use weapons of mass destruction
* Whether Saddam would engage in clandestine attacks against the US Homeland.
* Whether in desperation Saddam would share chemical or biological weapons with al-Qa'ida.
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I freely admit, Assistant Secretary of State for Intelligence and Research(Carl W. Ford Jr.) under Colin Powell claimed the intell wasn't solid enough...so what....
I'd go with the 16 intelligence agencys that write the NIE first....as any President would....
So now that you've been schooled again, why don't you give it a fuckin' rest.
Being a patriot isn't all that bad, give it a try....