Obama will win, by how much depends on the economy. Right now the republicans are ruining the nation in an attempt to regain power. The republicans have failed consistently for 100 years, and yet their message appeals to ideologues of the right and many independent voters. To add to Churchill's comment, ""The best argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average [right wing republican] voter." The fact anyone could even consider Bachmann, Perry, Cain, or Santorum as presidential material proves the quote.
http://www.justplainpolitics.com/showthread.php?35351-Republican-Ideology-through-History
"Well, I have been studying the Republican Party for over 12 years at close hand in the Capital of the United States. And by this time, I have discovered where the Republicans stand on most of the major issues."
http://www.trumanlibrary.org/publicpapers/index.php?pid=1986
And see my sig.
"Unity in a democracy cannot be produced by mealymouthed political speeches.
Unity on great issues comes only when the voice of the people has been heard so clearly, so strongly, so unmistakably, that no one--not even the second guessers--can doubt what the people mean.
Thomas Jefferson did not seek unity by concealing the real issues between himself and Alexander Hamilton. He made the issues clear, so that the people could reach a decision. And their decision determined that democracy rather than autocracy should prevail in this great country of ours.
Andrew Jackson did not seek unity with the moneymakers in Philadelphia. He made the issues so clear that the people decided to place the control of the money in the Government of the United States, and not in a few private banks.
Abraham Lincoln did not seek unity with Stephen A. Douglas. He made it clear that this Nation could not continue to exist half slave and half free.
Franklin D. Roosevelt, in 1933, did not seek unity with the economic royalists. He proposed the New Deal.
And today, I do not seek unity by concealing the issues between me and the special privilege groups that control the Republican Party.
I never will seek that sort of unity.
Real unity is behind basic principles and concrete programs. Real unity cannot be achieved without a definition of the issues, and a decision by the American people."
Wow! Great stuff. Harry really did give 'em hell. Funny how the right's objectives never change and they have to be beaten back when the economic disparity they create catches up to them. This time it's world wide.
Obama will be reelected even though Citizens United will allow the right to spend billions on propaganda. People are starting to understand the right's plans to starve our govt. and tank the economy in hopes of blaming it on Obama and winning a close election. Pfffftt cat's out of the bag. The reason the poll numbers are what they are is because people want him to be more like Harry.