Your Final Projections

Yes, he was within my defended airspace. I am responsible for guarding presidential airspace whenever he ventures into my sector. The Canadian element if NORAD does the same thing for the PM.
 
I love the confidence of the right-wingers here absent all evidence to the contrary. Epistemic closure is a hell of a drug.
 
Dungheap said:
I love the confidence of the right-wingers here absent all evidence to the contrary. Epistemic closure is a hell of a drug.
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Lots of wishful thinking. 2 weeks ago, it was all about the RCP averages for the right.

Now, it's a lot of weird conjecture. Fred Barnes wrote today that a tie "goes to the challenger." Peggy Noonan described an Obama I haven't seen - looking all wan & forlorn at his rallies - compared to a vibrant and optimistic Romney, and concluded that they both know something we don't, which is that Romney will win.
 
Dungheap said:
I love the confidence of the right-wingers here absent all evidence to the contrary. Epistemic closure is a hell of a drug.
Click to expand...

the vast majority of the polls are within the margin of error. while I agree that unabashed confidence in such a tight race is a bit bewildering, the same applies for you. obama does not have this locked up.
 
I stand by my projection.

51.75% Romney
47.05% Obama
1.2% Other

EC: 316 Romney, 222 Obama.

If I'm close, perhaps the NYT will fire that asshole Nate Silver and hire me. :)
 
Dungheap said:
I love the confidence of the right-wingers here absent all evidence to the contrary. Epistemic closure is a hell of a drug.
Click to expand...
I'm not saying anything in that regards. In 04 I was convinced that no sane person would vote someone as obviously incompetent as W to a second term. Boy was I wrong. Don't get me wrong. I don't think Romney is even remotely as incompetent as W was. Still, objectively, the odds do significantly favor Obama, in the EV, in what should be a fairly close election. The auto bailout is what will turn Ohio for Obama. Killing Bin Ladin didn't hurt either.
 
A white moon's hot said:
the vast majority of the polls are within the margin of error. while I agree that unabashed confidence in such a tight race is a bit bewildering, the same applies for you. obama does not have this locked up.
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That's true. Obama has a 2:1 advantage and it could be that statistical occurance where the coin flips in Romney's favor. I'm hoping it doesn't for two reasons. The insipidely bad congress we have which is truly lacking in leadership, the opposition party decided to thwart the vast majority of public business on the basis of making the President a one term President. A more short sighted political strategy could not exist and this should not be rewarded. The second is that an Obama win will kill the southern strategy as it will be clear that Republicans can't win the White House anymore by manipulating white bigotry.
 
A white moon's hot said:
the vast majority of the polls are within the margin of error. while I agree that unabashed confidence in such a tight race is a bit bewildering, the same applies for you. obama does not have this locked up.
Click to expand...
On second thought that's not true Grind. The vast majority of State polls are outside the margin of error. Only four States are withing the +/- 2% margin of Error. Virginia, Colorado, North Carolina and Florida.
 
I Predict?

I predict, Romney will carry the South!

romney_nathan_bedford.jpg


But seriously, Obama wins the electoral college!
 
Is anybody paying attention to the FACTS???? CNN admittedly, is sampling Dems at 11% to their favor in some cases. YET, Obama is only tied or barely ahead.

If you add polling skewed towards Obama, independents & undecideds breaking away from the incumbent,and things like the Bradley effect, you have to think that these polls really favor Mitt in most cases.
 
Dungheap said:
I love the confidence of the right-wingers here absent all evidence to the contrary. Epistemic closure is a hell of a drug.
Click to expand...

All evidence shows this is going down to the wire in the key battleground states. You on the other hand are doing exactly what you proclaim they are. Pretending that the evidence shows anything but a nail biter.
 
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