Biden Inches Wider Lead Over Trump

M

martin

Well-known member
This is the 538 "poll", which isn't a poll or polling average but a daily electoral poll-based analysis that has proven to be the most reliable of all
election predictions since and including the Obama terms. Biden's small current lead is meaningful only in showing he seems not to have been damaged in the fall out from the debate. Before then the race also had been neck and neck.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 

New polls show Biden slipping further behind Trump in critical swing states​

Jul 10, 2024 6:53 PM EDT

Geoff Bennett
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Geoff Bennett
Saher Khan
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Saher Khan
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Adding to Democratic concerns about President Biden's candidacy, new data forecasts an electoral map leaning more heavily towards Donald Trump. To walk us through these new numbers and the current electoral landscape, Geoff Bennett spoke with Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
pbs.org

Poor Marty.
 
  • Amna Nawaz:
    And new data is now forecasting that an electoral map that's leaning more heavily towards Donald Trump, adding to those concerns about Biden's candidacy.
    pbs.org
 

Donald Trump Now Favored in Five Swing States: New Forecast​


The Hill and Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) updated their 2024 presidential forecast and predictions this week to show Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, gaining ground in battleground states with a 58 percent chance of winning the presidency.

"The former President is now slightly favored over Biden in Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In contrast, Biden maintains a slight edge in Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine," the update said about the eight states.
Click to expand...
 
Earl said:

New polls show Biden slipping further behind Trump in critical swing states​

Jul 10, 2024 6:53 PM EDT

Geoff Bennett
By —
Geoff Bennett
Saher Khan
By —
Saher Khan
Leave your feedback
Share
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter
TranscriptAudio
Adding to Democratic concerns about President Biden's candidacy, new data forecasts an electoral map leaning more heavily towards Donald Trump. To walk us through these new numbers and the current electoral landscape, Geoff Bennett spoke with Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
pbs.org

Poor Marty.
Click to expand...

Yup, there's always Twitter.
 
“According to The Hill/DDHQ forecast map, Trump leads Biden 51 percent to 49 percent in Nevada, 61 to 39 in Arizona, 63 to 38 in Georgia, 59 to 41 in Pennsylvania, and 59 to 41 in Wisconsin. Biden leads Trump 53 percent to 47 percent in Michigan, 67 to 33 in Minnesota, and 66 to 34 in Maine.”

It’s a Hill/DDHQ poll , dummy.

Poor, poor Marty.
 
Earl said:
“According to The Hill/DDHQ forecast map, Trump leads Biden 51 percent to 49 percent in Nevada, 61 to 39 in Arizona, 63 to 38 in Georgia, 59 to 41 in Pennsylvania, and 59 to 41 in Wisconsin. Biden leads Trump 53 percent to 47 percent in Michigan, 67 to 33 in Minnesota, and 66 to 34 in Maine.”

It’s a Hill/DDHQ poll , dummy.

Poor, poor Marty.
Click to expand...
Two "poors" this time.
 
Earl said:
“According to The Hill/DDHQ forecast map, Trump leads Biden 51 percent to 49 percent in Nevada, 61 to 39 in Arizona, 63 to 38 in Georgia, 59 to 41 in Pennsylvania, and 59 to 41 in Wisconsin. Biden leads Trump 53 percent to 47 percent in Michigan, 67 to 33 in Minnesota, and 66 to 34 in Maine.”

It’s a Hill/DDHQ poll , dummy.

Poor, poor Marty.
Click to expand...
A HUGE number of Nevada workers live on tips. Trump does not want to tax tips.
 
martin said:
This is the 538 "poll", which isn't a poll or polling average but a daily electoral poll-based analysis that has proven to be the most reliable of all
election predictions since and including the Obama terms. Biden's small current lead is meaningful only in showing he seems not to have been damaged in the fall out from the debate. Before then the race also had been neck and neck.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Click to expand...
Biden might still drop out, but the day after the debate I didn't see any reason to panic and rush into any rash decisions.
 

Trump gives $500 tip in Philly cheesesteak shop​

1720882680268.png
Israel Hayom
https://www.israelhayom.com › 2024/06/23 › trump-lea...




Jun 23, 2024 — Trump left a $500 tip and wrote "no taxes on tips" on the receipt, aligning with his recent campaign stance to end taxation on tips for service ...
 
martin said:
This is the 538 "poll", which isn't a poll or polling average but a daily electoral poll-based analysis that has proven to be the most reliable of all
election predictions since and including the Obama terms. Biden's small current lead is meaningful only in showing he seems not to have been damaged in the fall out from the debate. Before then the race also had been neck and neck.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Click to expand...
As Hillary found out, national polling is irrelevant. There are a handful of states that will determine the outcome of the election. Biden is under water in many of those states.
 
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