CNN Poll: Biden Lead Shrinks on Convention Eve with Double-Digit Shift Trump’s Way

tinfoil said:
I seen speculation that the dems are throwing the election because they know Hillary would lose again and they plan to run her in 2024 if she lives that long. If they ran a good candidate and won, Hillary will never get another chance and she knew she would lose to trump again so thats why they are doing this
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Make no mistake they want to win. They want the Senate more than the Presidency

Don’t believe the media. This poll spells doom for Biden this early in the campaign

If he can only muster a 4 point advantage nationally in a registered voter poll that over samples democrats by 4% then he is in BIG trouble.

Also look at the percentage of “people of color” saying they are voting for Trump. I guess they could be lying but wouldn’t know their motivation to lie like a Trump supporter might

I think people flirted with the idea of Biden a couple of months ago but recent videos of his mental decline have nixed that.

Now the JPP leftists will start saying “polls don’t matter this early” and “we always knew the polls would tighten”
 
dukkha said:
The movement in the poll among voters nationwide since June is concentrated among men
(they split about evenly in June, but now 56% back Trump, 40% Biden), those between the ages of 35 and 64
(they tilt toward Trump now, but were Biden-leaning in June)
and independents (in June, Biden held a 52% to 41% lead, but now it’s a near even 46% Biden to 45% Trump divide),”
Agiesta wrote. “Trump has also solidified his partisans since June. While 8% of Republicans or Republican-leaning independents in June said they would back Biden, that figure now stands at just 4%.
And the President has boosted his backing among conservatives from 76% to 85%.”

The poll was conducted from August 12 to August 15, meaning that it was done entirely in the wake of the announcement from Biden that Harris would be his running mate.
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The ‘excitement’ over Harris was manufactured by the News Fakers lol.

They literally re-made her from what she was in the debates. But it looks as though some lemmings might be breaking away from the pack.

Imo, it was only a matter of time before the violence and chaos in democrat cities—caught up with Democrats. I think Democrat leaders actually realize polls are used mostly to try and influence the masses. If they are following polls it’s some sort of internal poll not intended for public use.

That explains why Cuomo would insult people’s intelligence with the idea Trump ‘is at least partially responsible’ for what is going in DeBlasio’s city.
 
This is why polls are pointless.
1 Braxton Way Suite 125 Glen Mills, PA 19342484-840-4300 www.ssrs.comPOLL8@ssrs_research | 484.840.4300 | www.ssrs.com | 1OVERVIEWThe study was conducted for CNN via telephone by SSRS, an independent research company. Interviews were conducted from August 12-15, 2020 among a sample of 1,108 respondents. The landline total respondents were 386 and there were 722 cell phone respondents. The margin of sampling error for total respondents is +/-3.7at the 95% confidence level. The design effect is 1.62. More information about SSRS can be obtained by visiting www.ssrs.com. Unless otherwise noted, results beginning with the March 31-April 2, 2006 survey and ending with the April 22-25, 2017 survey are from surveys conducted by ORC International. Results before March 31, 2006 are from surveys conducted by Gallup. Question text noted in parentheses was rotated or randomized. Values less than 0.5 percent are indicated
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Anyone understand the issues here?
 
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Hiden Biden said:
Make no mistake they want to win. They want the Senate more than the Presidency

Don’t believe the media. This poll spells doom for Biden this early in the campaign

If he can only muster a 4 point advantage nationally in a registered voter poll that over samples democrats by 4% then he is in BIG trouble.

Also look at the percentage of “people of color” saying they are voting for Trump. I guess they could be lying but wouldn’t know their motivation to lie like a Trump supporter might

I think people flirted with the idea of Biden a couple of months ago but recent videos of his mental decline have nixed that.

Now the JPP leftists will start saying “polls don’t matter this early” and “we always knew the polls would tighten”
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LOL

And JPP righties suddenly LOVE the polls, amiright? After ONE poll showing Trump closing the gap?

Awesome.
 
The other thread on this is hilarious, btw.

So many guarantees now, and assumptions about "mistakes Dems made."

Too bad we won't be able to bump it eventually.
 
BartenderElite said:
LOL

And JPP righties suddenly LOVE the polls, amiright? After ONE poll showing Trump closing the gap?

Awesome.
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I neither love nor hate polls. I merely hate polls that are done in a shitty fashion. This poll was done in a shitty fashion to favor Biden and the results still suck for him, which means he is doing even worse.

But, I don't expect you to believe that. You and your cunts in your knitting club hate Trump so you think everyone else does as well. You have convinced yourself that "no smart person could vote for Trump". This is how you got yourself in trouble in 2016 and has led to your downward spiral into insanity
 
Hiden Biden said:
I neither love nor hate polls. I merely hate polls that are done in a shitty fashion. This poll was done in a shitty fashion to favor Biden and the results still suck for him, which means he is doing even worse.

But, I don't expect you to believe that. You and your cunts in your knitting club hate Trump so you think everyone else does as well. You have convinced yourself that "no smart person could vote for Trump". This is how you got yourself in trouble in 2016 and has led to your downward spiral into insanity
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Trump even brags that his biggest supporters are those who are less educated. Soooo......
 
President Trump is probably up by 14 points with a 91% chance of winning re-election.

Shades of old Hillary.
 
Earl said:
President Trump is probably up by 14 points with a 91% chance of winning re-election.

Shades of old Hillary.
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Hillary was never up in any conglomeration of polls by 14 points, she was in a few outliers.

I do agree however it is too early for polling data to be very predictive. In two weeks (after the conventions) the polling data will start to be more increasingly predictive. That is why I have always said that Republicans wont start abandoning Trump* unless the polling data stays the same going into August.

If, after the conventions, Biden is 10 points ahead or more, you will see the Republican elected officials begin to abandon him in any swing state or district. The National party will begin to focus more on the senatorial candidates, and Trump will become a side note for RNC funds.
 
tinfoil said:
I seen speculation that the dems are throwing the election because they know Hillary would lose again and they plan to run her in 2024 if she lives that long. If they ran a good candidate and won, Hillary will never get another chance and she knew she would lose to trump again so thats why they are doing this
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This is so lame, Hillary will not run or office, again.
 
Wow, that's a really good outlier poll for you jerks....and you still lose the election by 4%.

It appears men don't like the Kamala choice as when her name is specifically mentioned in the poll question it's 4 % but when it's just Biden and Trump, it's still 10%.

People vote the top of the ticket.
 
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