CNN Poll: Biden Lead Shrinks on Convention Eve with Double-Digit Shift Trump’s Way

Crocodile said:
Well, that's only a piece of things. When you are trying to create a vision of consensus your statistics are no better than the hype created at the horse races to coerce bets. If polls are that limited they will only be effectively accurate through scientific means of repetition. One poll is worthless alone and with the role of bias, it's hard to say if the averages across the board are even right. If you discard the results that are way off, maybe.

I'm curious, do they poll people at random based on their registration or did people sign up? Polling descriptions are often vague. I think the latter would be more successful.
Click to expand...

so again, to reiterate

1) you only need a sample size of around 300 people to be accurate for a population of millions within a relatively small margin of error. 1000 basically is a 99% confidence interval

2) any poll that has any merit, even polls rated with like an F by nate silver, will use random sampling. By definition any scientific poll uses a random sample. If they end up over sampling a particular subset of the population, they then weight the results. I say this all the time on JPP and no one ever listens.
 
volsrock said:
Presumptive Democrat presidential nominee former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead has evaporated in the past two months, a new poll from CNN shows.

Biden leads President Donald Trump by just four points nationally — 50 percent to 46 percent — and by even less across 15 battleground states that will determine who wins the electoral college. In those 15 states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin — the new CNN poll has Biden leading by just one percent, with Biden at 49 and Trump at 48.

The top line national number of a four-point race represents a double-digit shift in Trump’s direction from CNN’s last national poll in early June. That survey, two months ago, had Biden up 14 points — meaning this latest survey represents a ten-point swing Trump’s way as the summer has progressed heading into the conventions.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...n-lead-shrinks-double-digit-shift-trumps-way/
Click to expand...


Social security or economy You're just a desperate moron. The average of all six recent polls means Biden is up by eight. You have the outlier and trying to pretend that means something just means you're the dumbest moron on the planet
 
Bill said:
He should have attempted to reach-out to folks that did not vote for him..........

Why in the world would anyone play ball w/ the man continuously insulting you & undermining our nation.............
Click to expand...

He tried to get a deal, but the Democrats were extorting money for a rigged election, holding hard working people hostage by not negotiating! Ya mess with the bull ya get the horns!
 
Wolverine said:
He tried to get a deal, but the Democrats were extorting money for a rigged election, holding hard working people hostage by not negotiating! Ya mess with the bull ya get the horns!
Click to expand...

W/ this one we only got bull shit...........

Hopefully we get some steaks soon............:cool:
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top