I think a good chunk if not most people in the west still believe that Russia was "unprovoked". It brings me a lot of sadness how little people know these days :-/.
Russia was indeed unprovoked if we're talking legitimate provocation.
What Putin regards as provocative means nothing in the logical world.
First of all, I'd like to see if we can agree on what actions the United States and NATO engaged in prior to Russia's military operation began. I've gone over this before and you may be familiar with the gist of it, so I'll just present some articles to back up my main points.
1- The United States helped organize a coup against the elected President of Ukraine back in 2014, Viktor Yanukovych, which resulted in him fleeing for his life to Russia. Source:
As Russia actually do launch an invasion or “special operation” in Ukraine, we thought now was a good time to recap on how we got here. The historical, political and ethnic divisions in…
off-guardian.org
2- Following the coup, politicians on the far right and even neo Nazis in Ukraine took control. Their influence led to such things such as the almost immediate vote to remove Russian as an official language used in government buildings and schools in eastern Ukraine. While initially blocked by a holdout from Yanukovych's government, it was later implemented.
3- The events that took place in points 1 and 2 led to Crimeans holding a referendum to rejoin Russia, which won overwhelmingly. Russia accepted Crimeans' request and allowed Crimea to rejoin Russia. The Donbass regions of Donetsk and Luhansk started protests and takeovers of government buildings, similar to what happened during Euromaidan, but in this case, in support of more independence from Ukraine, seeing as Ukraine's new goverment had become decidedly anti-Russian, including the Russian language, which many eastern Ukrainians use as their primary language.
4- A civil war ensued, wherein thousands of eastern Ukrainians were killed. Zelensky is voted in as the new Ukrainian President on the promise of working out a peace deal with the rebels and Russia, who was not pleased at this slaughter of Russian speakers and ethnic Russians. Unfortunately, the far right, in conjunction with U.S. warhawks, provide no support for a peace deal and Zelensky changes tack. A good article on this:
In 2019, Zelensky was elected on an overwhelming mandate to make peace with Russia. As Stephen F. Cohen warned that year, the US chose to side with Ukraine’s far-right and fuel war.
scheerpost.com
5- Literally days before Russia's military operation in Ukraine began, Ukraine begins bombarding the eastern Ukrainian rebels in the Donbass region. Even before this starts, Russia's parliament asks Putin to recognize the Donbass Republics, probably hoping to protect them from this attack. While Putin initially refuses, he finally agrees to Parliament's request and recognizes the Donbass Republics on February 21, 2022. The bombardments continue, however, and so on February 24, 2022, Putin decides to start his special military operation in Ukraine. To date, the best and pretty much only written description that I have seen of these tumultuous days prior to Russia's military operation is from former Swiss Intelligence Officer Jacques Baud, in an article he published shortly after Russia's military operation in Ukraine began. It can be seen here:
Jacques Baud, a NATO expert, denounces western coverage of the Ukraine invasion.
scheerpost.com
My absolute favourite part of this article when it comes to presenting evidence of how Russia was provoked is quoted below:
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In fact, as early as February 16, Joe Biden knows that the Ukrainians began to shell the civilian populations of Donbass, putting Vladimir Putin in front of a difficult choice: to help Donbass militarily and create an international problem or to sit idle and watch Russian speakers from the Donbass being run over.
If he decides to intervene, Vladimir Putin can invoke the international obligation of “ Responsibility To Protect ” (R2P). But he knows that whatever its nature or scale, the intervention will trigger a shower of sanctions. Therefore, whether its intervention is limited to the Donbass or whether it goes further to put pressure on the West for the status of Ukraine, the price to be paid will be the same. This is what he explains in his speech on February 21.
That day, he acceded to the request of the Duma and recognized the independence of the two Republics of Donbass and, in the process, he signed treaties of friendship and assistance with them.
The Ukrainian artillery bombardments on the populations of Donbass continued and, on February 23, the two Republics requested military aid from Russia. On the 24th, Vladimir Putin invokes Article 51 of the United Nations Charter which provides for mutual military assistance within the framework of a defensive alliance.
In order to make the Russian intervention totally illegal in the eyes of the public we deliberately obscure the fact that the war actually started on February 16th. The Ukrainian army was preparing to attack the Donbass as early as 2021, as certain Russian and European intelligence services were well aware… The lawyers will judge.
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