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Guest
One of the first things to note is that the analysis included model generated data."Our analysis differs from others by including estimated temperatures up to 1200 km from the nearest measurement station (7). The resulting spatial extrapolations and interpolations are accurate for temperature anomalies at seasonal and longer time scales at middle and high latitudes, where the spatial scale of anomalies is set by Rossby waves (7). Thus we believe that the remarkable Arctic warmth of 2005 is real, and the inclusion of estimated arctic temperatures is the primary reason for our rank of 2005 as the warmest year. Other characteristics of our analysis method are summarized in footnote (8).
"The ranking of individual years, however, depends upon differences of only a few hundredths of a degree, which is finer than the accuracy that any method can achieve given observational limitations."
Hmmm.....
"Climate models show that the rate of warming is consistent with expectations "
"However, the error bar on the data implies that 2005 is practically in a dead heat with 1998, the warmest previous year."
So the scientists thought the rate of warming would be practically flat over the last 8 years?