house races....

PostmodernProphet

PostmodernProphet

fully immersed in faith..
over the last 30 days, the house race has firmed up.....
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html#previous_changes

from 206 leaning Dem, 189 leaning Rep 40 tossup....Dems have actually DROPPED to 204, Republicans have added 10 to 199, and toss ups are now 32....

for those 32 seats almost all incumbents lead in the polls....eight are open seats......I predict the demmycrats will take ten in all.....leaving them four short of controlling the House......
 
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And the OP's link reads:

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DATE STATE PREVIOUS STATUS NEW STATUS DEMS TOSS UPS GOP PICK-UP RANGE AVERAGE GAIN
10/11 FL27 Leans Dem »»» Toss Up 204 32 199 Dem +9 to +41 Dem +25.0
 
According to a well-known expression, Rome's emperor at the time, the decadent and unpopular Nero, “fiddled while Rome burned.” The expression has a double meaning: Not only did Nero play music while his people suffered, but he was an ineffectual leader in a time of crisis.

The next time you hear about a David versus Goliath story, don't think of an underdog. Think of a confident competitor who is more than happy to be underestimated.
 
PostmodernProphet said:
over the last 30 days, the house race has firmed up.....
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html#previous_changes

from 206 leaning Dem, 189 leaning Rep 40 tossup....Dems have actually DROPPED to 204, Republicans have added 10 to 199, and toss ups are now 32....

for those 32 seats almost all incumbents lead in the polls....eight are open seats......I predict the demmycrats will take ten in all.....leaving them four short of controlling the House......
Click to expand...

And here is 538 a neutral site .https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/ Dems are over 75 percent shot at taking house.
 
Teflon Don said:
Which means Republicans have 25% chance of keeping the House. That is a highly likely outcome

You are looking at 75% like it is 100%. It is not. You dolts made the same mistake in 2016
Click to expand...

No, i am not. You are ascribing to me what you think. i know that the repugs have a bit less than 1 0ut of 4 of winning, now. Actually not highly likely. But a chance.
I thought Hillary lost when Comey made the speech. She was moving and that screeched on the brakes. I did not think she could recover from that. For Comey's reward, Trump fired him.
 
countryboy said:
Wait, you think RCP leans right? :laugh:
Click to expand...

It does, slightly right, similar to the Wall Street Journal, and its' polls are informative but often skewed because it throws in the Razzy in the averages

Now if you are going to tell us it is liberal then that means you think the likes of Hannity are mainstream
 
archives said:
It does, slightly right, similar to the Wall Street Journal, and its' polls are informative but often skewed because it throws in the Razzy in the averages

Now if you are going to tell us it is liberal then that means you think the likes of Hannity are mainstream
Click to expand...

Even Doucheberg's left leaning media bias "checker" only rates RCP as "center right". I can remember a time when LWNJs thought Obama was "center right".
 
Nordberg said:
No, i am not. You are ascribing to me what you think. i know that the repugs have a bit less than 1 0ut of 4 of winning, now. Actually not highly likely. But a chance.
I thought Hillary lost when Comey made the speech. She was moving and that screeched on the brakes. I did not think she could recover from that. For Comey's reward, Trump fired him.
Click to expand...

They have more than “a chance”. You don’t understand probability

As for Comey stop it. You did not think it cost her the election. It was a convenient excuse but she was going to lose

But you raise in interesting question

If Russia colluded/meddled in our election to elect Trump

AND

Comey cost Hillary the election

Should Comey be investigated for Russian collusion
 
Nordberg said:
All polls are.. sorrier. But they are guidelines. They are pretty damn close at election time.
Click to expand...

no.....not in congressional races....2.4 million votes in Los Angeles County will not elect a senator in Arizona or a representative in Michigan.......look at the individual polls.....
 
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