If social distancing is effective

Shouldn’t COVID numbers in NYC and other regions start dropping like a brick?

You say you have some unspecified "degree" in virology, but you do not know what the word "mitigation" means? Social distancing SLOWS the spread of Covid-19, it does not completely stop the spread. If your "degree" came from anywhere other than a community college, demand a refund.
 
If you hate America so much, why not leave. If you are afraid of losing your "disability" check, maybe we can make arrangements like what Havana Moon is getting. We can continue to pay you your "disability" check, and you can cash it somewhere else. I know you are stealing money from taxpayers, but you are stealing so much more, that the money is not important.

Walt, mind your own fucking business. If you want to kiss the ass of that poignant stupid foreigner, leave me out of it.
 
Don't the initial tests take about 5 days to get the results?

Most first world countries aim for 4 hours or less. They would all like nearly immediately, but that is not possible. 4 hours is the maximum amount of time you can really delay someone on the possibility they are infected.

Part of the problem is America somehow ended up slower than Mexico. American tests took days or even weeks to get results. By the time people knew whether they should be quarantined or not, they were already beyond the time they should be quarantined.

It was, and still is a national disgrace.
 
No surprise that your comprehension skills are that poor. You demonstrate it with every post

What have you said that is comprehensible? You spew nothing more than psychobabble, bullshit and insults. That's why everyone here thinks you're a DICKHEAD :laugh:
 
Most first world countries aim for 4 hours or less. They would all like nearly immediately, but that is not possible. 4 hours is the maximum amount of time you can really delay someone on the possibility they are infected.

Part of the problem is America somehow ended up slower than Mexico. American tests took days or even weeks to get results. By the time people knew whether they should be quarantined or not, they were already beyond the time they should be quarantined.

It was, and still is a national disgrace.

Of course "the aim" is less, but once again, you fail to realize the time it takes to identify, then develop an accurate and expeditious test.
From your posts, should one assume you have expert knowledge of developing these tests?

No, the problem is the Chinese covered up the seriousness and how contagious this virus was until they spread it to other countries. Of course, it's ALL Trump's fault to whiners like you.
 
You say you have some unspecified "degree" in virology, but you do not know what the word "mitigation" means? Social distancing SLOWS the spread of Covid-19, it does not completely stop the spread. If your "degree" came from anywhere other than a community college, demand a refund.

When did I say that lol?

And one doesn’t need a degree in virology to know what ‘mitigation’ means. If the spread has been ‘mitigated’ then so has the death count. It’s only a question of degree. More importantly, is whether it was a meaningful degree. Or not.

It’s very easy and *very unscientific* to assume the lockdown and SD was a resounding success when it is gauged against projections that were wrong to begin. Likely, spectacularly wrong to begin with.

Solve that riddle for the class or demand a refund for your HS diploma. I assume you managed to graduate.
 
He is a brilliant man but appears to be addicted to the camera.


Dr. Fauci has been working to keep America safe from infectious diseases for 54 years. Starting in the 1980's, Presidents have repeatedly offered him the directorship of the National Institute of Health, but he has turned down such a public position, because he would rather do research. Unfortunately, everyone else who is credible cannot stand next to trump, so Dr. Fauci is forced to appear on camera.

It is amazing that Earl looks at trump and Dr. Fauci, and thinks that Dr. Fauci is the one who is addicted to the camera.
 
Don't the initial tests take about 5 days to get the results?
Of course "the aim" is less, but once again, you fail to realize the time it takes to identify, then develop an accurate and expeditious test.

You do not redevelop the tests every time you want results. It is a straightforward process that can usually be automated.
 
Who are you replying to? You seem to be confused....

It is in my original post that I am replying to RB 60. I am trying to think of a way she can keep getting American taxpayer money, and not stay in the country she hates. Havana Moon has been able to keep UK taxpayer money, but leave the UK to live in much cheaper Thailand. We should figure out a way for RB to do the same.
 
It’s very easy and *very unscientific* to assume the lockdown and SD was a resounding success

No sane person would call any of this a resounding success. The problem here is you are looking for a "cure" and a "resounding success". Where I am saying, "There is no good answer, but there are terrible answers and worse answers." You are comparing mitigation to an imaginary cure. Mitigation is what you do when a disaster cannot be stopped. It is NEARLY the worst thing imaginable, but that NEARLY makes it better than the alternative.

when it is gauged against projections that were wrong to begin. Likely, spectacularly wrong to begin with.

Social distancing is meant to slow the disease down. It is the speed, not the number infected that is compared. Do you have any evidence that it has sped up the disease?
 
When we all emerge from hibernation, the virus will still be there, and some of us (more or less the same number) will still get sick.

The idea was to “flatten the curve” by prolonging the epidemic, so that hospital resources would not be overwhelmed at any one time.

We now know that projections of hospital and ICU use were wildly inaccurate. That means that the “flatten the curve” rationale was bullshit.

Models pointed to large outbreaks of the virus washing over the country this week. Right now hospitals are managing just fine almost everywhere—well below capacity, in fact.

Even in Blue York Shitty, the estimates of the beds and ventilators needed has been grossly wide of the mark.

They’d estimated a need for 140,000 beds by last Friday, but only needed 8,500.

Looking around the country, it doesn’t appear that any hospitals are using the emergency facilities they urgently threw up around the country.

Even Louisiana got through its surge without being overwhelmed.

Washington DC is supposedly 8 days past the peak as gauged by the ridiculous IHME model, and nothing of note has happened.

The expected epidemics haven’t materialized, indicating that there are big problems with the models, which made baseless assumptions about either the disease’s case fatality rate or its contagiousness (or both).

Note that social distancing should only now just be affecting hospital capacity – given that there’s a 3-week lag between when social distancing can begin to bring down new infections that can then progress to hospitalization severity.

Most places only locked down at the end of March, so the lack of hospital utilization right now isn’t due to social distancing.












https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2020/04/some-rational-perspectives-on-covid-19.php
 
What have you said that is comprehensible? You spew nothing more than psychobabble, bullshit and insults. That's why everyone here thinks you're a DICKHEAD

I don't think he's a dickhead.

I know he's a DEMOCRAT.

:rofl2:
 
No sane person would call any of this a resounding success. The problem here is you are looking for a "cure" and a "resounding success". Where I am saying, "There is no good answer, but there are terrible answers and worse answers." You are comparing mitigation to an imaginary cure. Mitigation is what you do when a disaster cannot be stopped. It is NEARLY the worst thing imaginable, but that NEARLY makes it better than the alternative.



Social distancing is meant to slow the disease down. It is the speed, not the number infected that is compared. Do you have any evidence that it has sped up the disease?

Who said I was looking for a cure lol?

My point is *we are assuming* shutting down the economy slowed down the infection/death numbers when we really have no idea whether it’s been worth the economic pain or not.

This is serious business. Why are we guessing so much?
 
What have you said that is comprehensible? You spew nothing more than psychobabble, bullshit and insults. That's why everyone here thinks you're a DICKHEAD :laugh:

Not difficult to understand, cunt. Especially when you’ve been told multiple times.

-I’m retired from state service
-I receive a lifetime pension
-I work a great second income job with full benefits.

Comprende, idiot?

Fucking moron
 
Shouldn’t COVID numbers in NYC and other regions start dropping like a brick?

Like any day now?

If they don’t stop dropping, what does that mean?

Are you saying Trump and Vice President Pence are lying to us? If social distancing doesn't work, why are they advocating it?

https://thehill.com/homenews/admini...r-widespread-testing-before-reopening-economy
The president, who has expressed optimism that parts of the country could begin easing social distancing restrictions by early May, told reporters a White House briefing that ramping up testing to levels recommended by health experts to quickly identify new clusters would be a goal, but is not a necessity to send people back to work.
 
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