Morgan Stanley is issuing a recession alert

Chapdog said:
id say theres a 30% chance we have recession.. and it would be mild.
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Take a look at the technical charting of the dow on a monthly basis since 1981. For 28 years the trend line has been up and it has not been broken. Dow going below 12500 at this point would break the trendline. That would be bad for the market.

Short term technicals look better, in large part to the rally last week. But it has created a nice little head and shoulders.

A recession is not a lock at this point, but I would put it more at 70-80% than 30% at this point based on the problems we are currently facing.
 
Wow THE DEPTH OF THE stupidity amonst the turbolibs.
They could start a band Deshtard and the recessionista's!!!!
Nice troll, it's 2 months old and we've have a couple hundred thousand jobs created since then. Notice how 70% ish of the reports say no recession but then if desh trolled something positive were would that leave the recessionista's.
 
patience grasshopper if you keep saying recession for seven years you'll be right 2 qtrs out of 28. Not bad for a GED
Your Desh's lead background singer for the Recionista's.
 
Well first you could learn from some actual high school grads
then you could actually start to read stuff
What I'm laying down is way over your paygrade or ability to comprehend grasshopper.
 
SF seems to understand Spinner.
I guess your processing expense reports does not prepare you for the world market.
 
uscitizen said:
SF seems to understand Spinner.
I guess your processing expense reports does not prepare you for the world market.
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Do note: I think a recession is likely, but not definite. There are steps we can take to alleviate a great deal of the pain, I just have no faith in our government to recognize those steps or to take them.
 
There is no incentive for them to allow anythign through which helps the economy in any significant manner.

They will leave a mess to the next Pres being a Dem and then blame them for the mess.

Standard R procedure
 
Superfreak said:
Do note: I think a recession is likely, but not definite. There are steps we can take to alleviate a great deal of the pain, I just have no faith in our government to recognize those steps or to take them.
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Pretty much me too.
All the pressure for one has been building. And the sources of pressure are more diverse than usual which I believe will cause the recession to be longer.
I I do not have any faith in our govt to do anything to alleviate it very much either. the credit card is about pegged out. So even if they tried they are more limited in options than they used to be.
 
Desh said:
There is no incentive for them to allow anythign through which helps the economy in any significant manner.

They will leave a mess to the next Pres being a Dem and then blame them for the mess.

Standard R procedure
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Kind of like Clinton left a recession for Bush. Standard Dem procedure.
 
Desh said:
There is no incentive for them to allow anythign through which helps the economy in any significant manner.

They will leave a mess to the next Pres being a Dem and then blame them for the mess.

Standard R procedure
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No incentive? How do you figure?

The perception will always be the President is in charge of the economy. So if for no other reason than his legacy Bush is going to want to have a strong economy on his watch.

The Republicans obviously want to win the White House and Congress back in 2008. Having their party blamed for a downturn in the economy is not going to help their cause. Thus they want the economy to do well.
 
Too late to save Bush's legacy....Gotta look to the future for the sake of the party.
Bush is just colateral damage.
 
Yeap its duck ad cover time for the R party. Blame all the bad fallout from the Chimp on the next admin.

The R base has a very short memmory.
 
Desh said:
Yeap its duck ad cover time for the R party. Blame all the bad fallout from the Chimp on the next admin.

The R base has a very short memmory.
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bush walked into a bad economy and you blamed the republican congress.

Hillary or whoever will walk into a bad economy. u will blame the republican president since the dems are in congress.
 
so now that the shoe is on the other foot i will reiterate what i said back in 2001. The executive and legislative branches of the government have allot less to do with economic cycles then you think.
 
I'm not surprised by deshtard and the recessionista's.
I am surprised that super coldcaller says 70% after a 5% gdp quarter.
But then hes reading charts now prob a weaji board when he gets home.
Here's a clue to keep you out of the band Deshtard and the recessionista's.
100,000 jobs a month doesn not equal recession.
 
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