The poll results I am speaking of are election polls. If you believe that the Republicans in Texas are skewing those results towards Democrats, take it up with them.
Florida is closer than Virginia!
- Thread starter Jarod
- Start date
In 2018, Ted Cruz was not even able to get 51% of the vote in Texas. trump considered himself lucky to get 52% of the Texas vote in 2020.Dream on.
These are winning numbers, but incredibly close for what used to be an easy win. Republicans are having to spend a lot of money just to keep Texas.
Republicans used to have 20 to 30% leads in Texas. These days if they can get a few percent lead, they consider themselves lucky.
Last time around, Cruz got 50.89%, so not quite 51%.
2018 United States Senate election in Texas - Wikipedia
If the Republicans cannot come up with a new strategy, Texas will be a battleground state by 2032.
IBDaMann
Well-known member
The "poll results" of which you speak are nothing more than DNC press releases that are being called "poll results." There is no truth to those complete fabrications.
Republicans have no say in the wording of DNC press releases.
Cruz was not even able to get 51% of the vote in 2018. That is not a "DNC press release", but rather the election results from the Texas State Government. The Texas State Government is not controlled by the DNC.
IBDaMann
Well-known member
I'll care about that after I finish watching paint dry.
... it is your convenient pivot at the moment.
... but the DNC press releases are.
Geeko Sportivo
Verified User
Texas is not really the MAGA state that Trump and Governor Abbott would like for you to think.
Texas is actually a state that is full of Vintage Republicans, Conservative Democrats, and Independents- and all 3 of these groups HATE DONALD TRUMP AND HIS POLICIES! Only one out of every three voting Texans are MAGATARDS!
Texas is also a state that graduates millions of young people from High Schools and College every year- who the majority register to vote as DEMOCRATS!
Texas is also a state where over half of the voting public are women- WHO ARE BY FAR AND ABOVE PRO-CHOICE- and they are still mad at the overturning of Roe vs. Wade and intend to get their vote out in record numbers this election. Texas has a high population of college grads who the majority of them vote Democratic. MAKES SENSE DOESN'T IT?- THE EDUCATED PEOPLE VOTE DEMOCRATIC BY A LARGE MARGIN!
I mean, that is self-explanatory isn't it?
37% of our population here is MEXICAN- who hates Donald Trump's Immigration policies and all of his insults by him directed at their RACE!
So I think this is going to be a BIG YEAR for DEMOCRATS TO HOLD THEIR OWN IN THIS IMPORTANT ELECTION!
They may be looking at replacing Ted Cruz this time around and hanging onto the SENATE!
ExpressLane
Verified User
Have you been eating dung beetles again because you are full of shit. Driven down the street and you will find three Trump signs for every Harris sign. Texas is a RED state.
Geeko Sportivo
Verified User
No SIR! TEXAS IS AN ILLEGALLY GERRYMANDERED STATE.
When Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map in 2021, they took what had been one of the most competitive and politically interesting maps in the country and, through discrimination against fast-growing racial and ethnic minorities, transformed it into one of the most boring and least dynamic. The Department of Justice sued Texas, alleging that the legislature’s gerrymander is intentionally racially discriminatory and violates the Voting Rights Act. Now, let me just break down how Texas did this.
During the last decade, Texas used a congressional map drawn initially by the Republican legislature in 2011 and then partially redrawn by courts to remedy findings of racial discrimination. Despite the court-ordered fixes, the map remained an aggressive gerrymander, with Republicans holding a wildly disproportionate 25–11 edge in the state’s congressional delegation for almost all of the decade.
But gerrymandering can be complicated in a state that’s growing and shifting demographically as rapidly as Texas is, and it turned out that Republicans had overreached when they drew the map in 2011. Instead of concentrating Republican voters to guarantee ultra-safe seats, they tried to maximize seat share by spreading Republican voters across a large number of districts. That turned out to be a serious miscalculation as urban and suburban districts grew demographically diverse and as white suburban voters shifted in large numbers toward Democrats. By 2018, Democrats were able to flip two Republican-held suburban seats and came within a hairbreadth of winning several others. Republicans ended the decade hanging on to a 23–13 advantage, but just barely.
This decade, Republicans shifted tactics. Rather than target Democratic seats, they would shore up the existing gerrymander, making Republican seats safer.
Under the old map, the 7th District and 32nd District, two suburban seats picked up by Democrats in 2018, were fiercely competitive and vulnerable to flipping back to Republicans, especially if Republicans were to make inroads with non-white voters. By re-gerrymandering, Republicans were able to lock in a lopsided 24–14 advantage for Republicans in a state that is increasingly becoming a central battleground. To be favored to win more seats, Democrats would need to win 58 percent or more of the statewide vote — something improbable for the foreseeable future.
One part of the shoring up of the map occurred in central Texas. Dividing heavily Democratic Austin among multiple districts was key to the 2011 GOP strategy of minimizing the number of Democratic seats. The Republicans’ 2011 map infamously splintered the city among six districts. But since the last round of redistricting, Austin’s population has boomed and, critically, became even more loyally Democratic. The once safely Republican districts around Austin grew dangerously competitive.
To deal with their Austin problem, Republicans placed the bulk of Austin in a new heavily Democratic district — essentially ceding one district to Democrats in order to shore up multiple adjacent GOP districts.
The new Austin-based 37th District is one of the most Democratic in the state. Meanwhile, the 10th and 21st Districts, which had once been highly competitive for Democrats, both became much more safely Republican, as did the slightly less competitive 25th and 31st Districts.
But if Republicans were willing to create a heavily white Democratic district in central Texas, they took a different tack when it came to communities of color. Despite the fact that non-white communities were responsible for 95 percent of the state’s population growth last decade, Republicans refused to create additional new minority opportunity districts in either the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex or Houston. In addition, they aggressively broke up diverse suburban districts where multiracial coalitions had come close to winning power last decade.
The changes had both a political effect and a racial one. Suburban communities of color in places like Fort Bend County were ruthlessly divided — some voters of color were kept in existing districts, while others were surgically moved into Democratic-held swing districts. As a result, once highly competitive, white-majority swing districts became deeply Democratic ones under the new map. Those voters of color who were shifted out of suburban districts were replaced with whiter exurban or rural voters, turning those districts solidly Republican even though they continue to have significant non-white populations.
Multiple lawsuits, including one by the Biden administration, are pending to challenge the racially discriminatory aspects of the new Texas map. But, even if successful, litigation challenging maps may take years — and multiple election cycles — to fully wind its way through the courts. And unless Congress strengthens protections for communities of color with bills like the Freedom to Vote Act and John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act, it may be difficult to fully remedy discrimination. In the meantime, while Texans wait on courts and Congress, Texas will have one of the least competitive maps in the nation, and its booming communities of color once again will be shut out of their fair share of power.
Kamala Harris has vowed to sign into law both THE FREEDOM TO VOTE ACT- and THE JOHN R, LEWIS VOTING RIGHTS ADVANCEMENT ACT- AND TEXAS WILL AUTOMATICALLY TURN THE STATE OF TEXAS BLUER THAN BLUE- AND FOREVER MORE!
NEXT!
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