CNN Poll: Biden Lead Shrinks on Convention Eve with Double-Digit Shift Trump’s Way

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volsrock

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Presumptive Democrat presidential nominee former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead has evaporated in the past two months, a new poll from CNN shows.

Biden leads President Donald Trump by just four points nationally — 50 percent to 46 percent — and by even less across 15 battleground states that will determine who wins the electoral college. In those 15 states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin — the new CNN poll has Biden leading by just one percent, with Biden at 49 and Trump at 48.

The top line national number of a four-point race represents a double-digit shift in Trump’s direction from CNN’s last national poll in early June. That survey, two months ago, had Biden up 14 points — meaning this latest survey represents a ten-point swing Trump’s way as the summer has progressed heading into the conventions.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...n-lead-shrinks-double-digit-shift-trumps-way/
 
The movement in the poll among voters nationwide since June is concentrated among men
(they split about evenly in June, but now 56% back Trump, 40% Biden), those between the ages of 35 and 64
(they tilt toward Trump now, but were Biden-leaning in June)
and independents (in June, Biden held a 52% to 41% lead, but now it’s a near even 46% Biden to 45% Trump divide),”
Agiesta wrote. “Trump has also solidified his partisans since June. While 8% of Republicans or Republican-leaning independents in June said they would back Biden, that figure now stands at just 4%.
And the President has boosted his backing among conservatives from 76% to 85%.”

The poll was conducted from August 12 to August 15, meaning that it was done entirely in the wake of the announcement from Biden that Harris would be his running mate.
 
dukkha said:
thoe are approval ratings,not head to head match ups..
Also I don't use 538 - he's got some weird weighted metrics - i use RCP averages
Click to expand...

538 calls things as close as it gets.

Either way, it's too early to be citing polls on either side.
 
T. A. Gardner said:
Guess choosing Harris was boat anchor city for Biden...
Click to expand...

I seen speculation that the dems are throwing the election because they know Hillary would lose again and they plan to run her in 2024 if she lives that long. If they ran a good candidate and won, Hillary will never get another chance and she knew she would lose to trump again so thats why they are doing this
 
4 more years of Trump will be a serious test of character.

I usually try to put a silver lining on stuff, but it would be challenging w/ that one.
 
dukkha said:
thoe are approval ratings,not head to head match ups..
Also I don't use 538 - he's got some weird weighted metrics - i use RCP averages
Click to expand...

Don’t use RCP averages. It is even more bogus. RCP cherry picks polls. And taking averages of shitty polls merely gives shitty results.

If you dig into the CNN numbers it is even worse for Hiden Biden devastating actually
 
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