2016 Election electoral vote predictions

[Mott the Hoople]

Yeah it does, given that state polls are dependent variables with regards to the national polls. Whoever wins the popular vote is almost certainly going to win the electoral vote, due to the way the FPTP system works. So it's correct in 99% of cases. But "it tells us nothing".

Actually it's only 91% of the time.

 

[Leonthecat]

I don't understand why the Trumpovites don't seem interested in making any predictions?

 

[Jarod]

Are you a Trumpovite?

 

[Leonthecat]

Are you a Trumpovite?

Trumpovites are hesitant to predict doom for their racist leader. All polls point to that outcome.

 

[ExplainConservatism]

sup

 

[PostmodernProphet]

The further out you make your prediction the more impressive it will be if its correct, and the less embarrassing it will be if you are incorrect.

Remember PiMP's prediction about Romney winning Michigan by 10 points the night before the election?

lol......if you "remember" that you might tie Hillary's record for the biggest lie.......

 

[PostmodernProphet]

He was repeating it the night before.

.

link it libbie.....

 

[PostmodernProphet]

I don't understand why the Trumpovites don't seem interested in making any predictions?

easy.....Trump > 270, Hillary < 270....

 

[evince]

like you always do huh dickbrain

 

[PostmodernProphet]

this morning RCP added Pennsylvania to the toss up list......I predict that Oregon will be the next state to go toss-up as Hillary's "lead" there is based solely on a poll from May......

 

[evince]

the orange one can not win idiot

 

[PostmodernProphet]

the orange one can not win idiots

of course not, all the idiots are voting for Hil-liar-y.......

 

[PostmodernProphet]

hmmmmm......a swing state......that's gotta hurt....

Iowa
RCP Average 8/8 - 9/1 -- -- 40.0 39.0 8.3 2.3 Trump +1.0
Emerson 8/31 - 9/1 600 LV 3.9 44 39 8 1 Trump +5
CBS News/YouGov 8/17 - 8/19 987 LV 4.0 40 40 7 2 Tie
Quinnipiac 8/9 - 8/16 846 LV 3.4 39 41 12 3 Clinton +2
Suffolk University 8/8 - 8/10 500 LV 4.4 37 36 6 3 Trump +1

 

[PostmodernProphet]

+1....I can't remember.....was Virginia supposed to be a swing state?.....

Emerson 8/30 - 9/1 800 LV 3.4 44 43 11 3 Clinton +1
Quinnipiac 8/9 - 8/16 808 LV 3.5 45 34 11 5 Clinton +11
Washington Post 8/11 - 8/14 707 LV 4.5 46 39 9 3 Clinton +7
NBC/WSJ/Marist 8/4 - 8/10 897 RV 3.3 43 31 12 5 Clinton +12

 

[PostmodernProphet]

I see Jarod has no links to my Michigan predictions the night before the election......apparently he knows he lied......

 

[Minister of Truth]

 

[PostmodernProphet]

you may be lucky 3D.....if Trump gets elected you won't have to face a life time of people reminding you how you fucked us over in '16.......

 

[Leonthecat]

you may be lucky 3D.....if Trump gets elected you won't have to face a life time of people reminding you how you fucked us over in '16.......

Jesus hates you when you talk like that, Pimp.
You're never getting into heaven, you know that, right?

 

[Leonthecat]

I see Jarod has no links to my Michigan predictions the night before the election......apparently he knows he lied......

Jesus knows, liar.

 

[Leonthecat]

The further out you make your prediction the more impressive it will be if its correct, and the less embarrassing it will be if you are incorrect.

Remember PiMP's prediction about Romney winning Michigan by 10 points the night before the election?

He wishes he never said that. Now he lies about it before Jesus and everyone.