2016 Election electoral vote predictions

[PostmodernProphet]

Yeah.....she's gotta be reeeaaallly worried!!!!



​

oh no.....she shouldn't worry......she should be herself and concentrate on letting the voters know that between now and the election......​

 

[Mott the Hoople]

????......538 has her twenty points down from where she was before the convention.....

I don't believe so. I think she was between 60 and 70% before the convention and around 80% after. They have her at 67% now.

 

[tsuke]

these are my picks for right now

trump
alabama
alaska
arizona
arkansaw
georgia
idaho
indiana
iowa
kansas
kentucky
louisiana
maine (1)
mississippi
montana
missouri
nebraska
ohio
oklahoma
south carolina
south dakota
north dakota
tenessee
texas
utah
wyoming
west viriginia

total 216

clinton

cali
conn
delaware
dc
hawaii
illinois
maine (state)
maryland
minnesota
newhampshire
new jersey
new york
oregon
rhode island
vermont
washington
wisconsin

total
209

toss ups
colorado
florida
michigan
nevada
new mexico
north carolina
pennslyvania
virginia

total 113

What i would love to happen is for pennsylvania michigan and maybe north carolina to flip along with maybe nevada as that will show the trump gop opens up new paths of winning as opposed to the gope.

As the new york times said suddenly ohio is no longer a battleground state.

 

[Jarod]

these are my picks for right now

trump
alabama
alaska
arizona
arkansaw
georgia
idaho
indiana
iowa
kansas
kentucky
louisiana
maine (1)
mississippi
montana
missouri
nebraska
ohio
oklahoma
south carolina
south dakota
north dakota
tenessee
texas
utah
wyoming
west viriginia

total 216

clinton

cali
conn
delaware
dc
hawaii
illinois
maine (state)
maryland
minnesota
newhampshire
new jersey
new york
oregon
rhode island
vermont
washington
wisconsin

total
209

toss ups
colorado
florida
michigan
nevada
new mexico
north carolina
pennslyvania
virginia

total 113

What i would love to happen is for pennsylvania michigan and maybe north carolina to flip along with maybe nevada as that will show the trump gop opens up new paths of winning as opposed to the gope.

As the new york times said suddenly ohio is no longer a battleground state.

Pennsylvania, Virginia, Nevada and Colorado are not toss ups!

 

[PostmodernProphet]

I don't believe so. I think she was between 60 and 70% before the convention and around 80% after. They have her at 67% now.

538 has its historical chart......precise dates of the conventions I didn't bother to look up.......the points remains she's gone up, she's gone down, she's gone back up, she's gone back down.....she's gone up again, do you really think she won't go back down again?......and each time she comes down she goes lower.....

 

[PostmodernProphet]

Pennsylvania, Virginia, Nevada and Colorado are not toss ups!

RCP agrees with you on Virginia......but not on the other three....though to be fair to tsuke, when he posted they had Virginia as toss-up as well......

 

[Jarod]

538 has its historical chart......precise dates of the conventions I didn't bother to look up.......the points remains she's gone up, she's gone down, she's gone back up, she's gone back down.....she's gone up again, do you really think she won't go back down again?......and each time she comes down she goes lower.....

37 days - and many started voting this week. I have a lot of friends who work for the Democratic Party who sent in absentee ballots this week.

 

[PostmodernProphet]

37 days - and many started voting this week. I have a lot of friends who work for the Democratic Party who sent in absentee ballots this week.

well then lets see what the polls do over the next 37 days......there's been nothing in the last week that should offer you any hope.....

 

[Jarod]

well then lets see what the polls do over the next 37 days......there's been nothing in the last week that should offer you any hope.....

You don't think so? 538 has dramatically increased her chances of winning?

 

[PostmodernProphet]

You don't think so? 538 has dramatically increased her chances of winning?

why is it 538 won't include ALL the polls?.....I will stick with RCP......

 

[Jarod]

why is it 538 won't include ALL the polls?.....I will stick with RCP......

538 has a better track record, but RCP has her up also.

 

[tsuke]

You don't think so? 538 has dramatically increased her chances of winning?

they are also the site that declared trump had a 2% chance of being the gop nominee.

 

[Jarod]

they are also the site that declared trump had a 2% chance of being the gop nominee.

At one point, but not 39 days out.

 

[PostmodernProphet]

538 has a better track record .

a better track record than what?.....

 

[PostmodernProphet]

they are also the site that declared trump had a 2% chance of being the gop nominee.

oh, THAT better track record....

 

[Jarod]

a better track record than what?.....

Predicting presidential elections, are you going into your denial phase, remember what that got you last time?

 

[FUCK THE POLICE]

My new prediction:

 

[FUCK THE POLICE]

The swing State that matters most is Florida. Come election night when Florida calls its race you can go to bed knowing who your next president will be.

What should really trouble Trump supporters is his lack of a ground game in the swing States. I would not be surprised to see Trump leading the polls in Ohio on the eve of the election but lose the State due to his lack of a ground game here.

Trump absolutely needs Florida. There are a few avenues for Hillary to win without it, but she'd be doing so by razor thin margins.

 

[Leonthecat]

a better track record than what?.....

 

[Leonthecat]

My new prediction:

Looks about right.