APP - Mid Term Prediction: As of today and subject to change

The live trackers can swing pretty wildly based on early results I don't think anyone's ever tried to do a nationwide tracker for a legislative election either. It tells you though that the Republicans should not have been counted out.

The senate chances have virtually evaporated.
 
lol grinds mad said:
The live trackers can swing pretty wildly based on early results I don't think anyone's ever tried to do a nationwide tracker for a legislative election either. It tells you though that the Republicans should not have been counted out.

The senate chances have virtually evaporated.
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of course they shouldn't have been counted out.

people think it's a cop out to say "both sides have a reasonable chance" but that is basically the most correct assessment before election days. anyone acting like it's ever 100% is a simpleton.
 
You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.
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.
 
lol grinds mad said:
Nelson is almost definitely going down
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It is amazing how wildly off the polls were in the Senate races. If Manchin doesn't vote for Kavanaugh he goes down.

I will never understand voters, but maybe on some cosmic level it all makes sense.

Massachussetts is as blue as it gets but has a Republican Governor
Montana is as red as it gets and it looks like Tester survives

When you sift all of the BS out of elections there are two truisms that matter more than anything.

1) No matter what people say, we are a 50-50 country and I don't see that changing anytime soon
2) Candidates matter

Now we will see what happens with divided government. To tell the truth, I am a fan of grid lock. It is fine that the House wants to be a check on Trump, but if they do not quell their inner pent up demons, their control of the House is going to be short lived.
 
Teflon Don said:
Thanks Diane Feinstein and her last minute theatrics, I am ready to make a prediction on the mid terms. I reserve the right to change this prediction as more information is known. But, here goes


If the mid terms were held today. The GOP would hold the House and pick up 5-7 Senate seats. There is even an outside chance that they could get to 60 votes in the US Senate.
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You never changed that prediction.... I love it!
 
Teflon Don said:
Thanks Diane Feinstein and her last minute theatrics, I am ready to make a prediction on the mid terms. I reserve the right to change this prediction as more information is known. But, here goes


If the mid terms were held today...
The GOP would hold the House
and pick up 5-7 Senate seats.

There is even an outside chance that they could get to 60 votes in the US Senate.
Click to expand...

This might be one of the worst predictions in the history of this forum, or at least since Republicans hollered "Mission Accomplished!" in May, 2003.

I suggest that in the future, anything you predict should be used by others as an indication that the exact opposite will occur.
 
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