A much stronger correlation is with regard to climate. Almost all of the states with rising rates are warmer in climate. The cooler states have lower rates.
Another correlation has to do with when each state first started getting significant numbers of cases. In the beginning, the Northeast was hit hardest by COVID, particularly in New York and New Jersey. After a few months, the virus spread southward.
Originally, the assumption was that warmer weather would contribute to a lessening of the spread, but it seems like the opposite might be true.
COVID doesn't care about your politics, but something that is likely contributing to the spread is people gathering outside more. Generally speaking, the hotter it gets outside, the more people get out and congregate. Also, the early period of isolation that was started throughout the country during spring has probably lead to a lot of people taking more risks by now, because they're sick of isolating. This probably wasn't as much of a problem for the cooler states, since COVID hit them hardest earlier, while people didn't yet have isolation fatigue.
Since the spread really hit the South later, this coincides with increased activity due to warmer weather.