Time for a change

Don't agree. Nothing you said accords with all reports on polling.

The polling is of who people prefer. Which I think is accurate, more people prefer Biden. But how many of those people are actually going to vote? This is why voter enthusiasm matters. If it snows, Biden supporters are more likely to stay home, because his supporters aren't as excited about him. Whereas Trumpcucks will walk across broken glass to vote for Trump.
 
"71% of college students plan to vote in 2020—and they heavily prefer Biden over Trump

"For the report, the organizations surveyed 4,000 full-time college students and found that 71% are “absolutely certain” they will vote this year.

"“If 71% of the ballpark 10 million undergrads at four-year colleges turned out, it would have a sizable impact on the election,” says Evette Alexander, director of learning and impact at the Knight Foundation, noting that such a high participation rate is still unlikely and would be unprecedented.

"When asked “If you were to cast your vote today, for whom would you vote?” 70% of those surveyed said they would pick former Vice President Biden and only 18% of students said they would pick President Donald Trump. A significant 81% of those surveyed said they have an unfavorable view of Trump. "

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/24/71p...-to-voteand-they-prefer-biden-over-trump.html

It would really be interesting if that came to be since it it would be close to a 30% jump since 2016.

https://www.insidehighered.com/quicktakes/2017/09/21/study-college-student-voting-rose-2016-election
Turnout was 48.3 percent, in 2016, compared to 45.1 percent in 2012. Among those who were registered to vote, 68.5 percent voted in 2016, compared to 65.3 percent in 2012.
 
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