So, where are we with herd immunity?

Again - if everyone got vaxxed tomorrow, COVID would be done this month.

If, on the other hand, we rely more on natural immunity: can you give an estimate for when we might achieve herd immunity?

I've probably asked a dozen or so times on this thread. It can be ballpark.

Your first sentence is just wrong.

The vaccines *don’t stop transmission*.
 
Ok, so you concede that the CDC and Fauci aren’t on the same page, again.

So what studies are the CDC using to back their statement on natural immunity. Or are they making it up as they go?

The CDC uses the data they have. You know what CDC stands for, right...and what they do?

They're not the only source that estimates well under a year for natural immunity.

I mean, if this is your "plan," shouldn't you know the data?
 
The CDC uses the data they have. You know what CDC stands for, right...and what they do?

They're not the only source that estimates well under a year for natural immunity.

I mean, if this is your "plan," shouldn't you know the data?

So, even though the nation’s top infectious disease expert is apparently unaware of any time limitations on natural immunity you trust the CDC on it, even as you can’t tell if they simply fabricated it or not. And doesn’t it bother you that Fauci wouldn’t be aware of such an important issue?

Knowing if/whether natural immunity lacked durability—during a pandemic, is kind of ‘important’, isn’t it? What do you attribute his ignorance to? Incompetence? Intellectual laziness? Or does the CDC have an agenda?

Straighten that out for us and we’ll continue the discussion.
 
So, even though the nation’s top infectious disease expert is apparently unaware of any time limitations on natural immunity you trust the CDC on it, even as you can’t tell if they simply fabricated it or not. And doesn’t it bother you that Fauci wouldn’t be aware of such an important issue?

Knowing if/whether natural immunity lacked durability—during a pandemic, is kind of ‘important’, isn’t it? What do you attribute his ignorance to? Incompetence? Intellectual laziness? Or does the CDC have an agenda?

Straighten that out for us and we’ll continue the discussion.

We can't continue the discussion, because you are unable to answer very basic questions that are integral to what you are proposing. Which is kind of astonishing.

I have no idea why Fauci answered that as he did. But the CDC doesn't make things up. When it comes to viruses and disease, they are the nation's most well-staffed, most knowledgeable and most informed authority. I know many on the right don't favor that kind of thing, anymore. They'd prefer people who don't have any experience or knowledge, but speak confidently and "go w/ their gut."

Knowing how long natural immunity lasts is "kind of important" if you want to proceed with a strategy that relies on natural immunity. That's what I'd say.

So, what the heck, I'll try again: how long does natural immunity last? How long would it take to achieve herd immunity, if vaccination rates stay the same and we rely on natural immunity for the rest?

These aren't hard questions. If this is your plan, you should be able to answer them.
 

Like a lost step child, herd immunity never gets talked about.

If the CDC’s 83% figure is correct we have to be closing in on it.

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There is no organ damage without symptomology.

Well, by definition if a virus can spread asymptomatically, then it can destroy cells (part of the body) without asymptomatically.

It is not uncommon for diseases to do even bigger damage before symptoms are present. For instance heart disease will do damage to your heart before symptoms present themselves. Or AIDS does huge amounts of damage to the immune system, before any symptoms are present. The symptoms come after the damage, and only if the damage is bad enough.

You are saying a positive PCR test only (no symptoms) results in bodily damage..

No, I am not. A PCR test has no effect one way or another on your body. It is a test, not a treatment. Whatever Covid-19 will do, it will do whether you get the PCR test or not.
 
Because the vaccines leak so much transmission explains why the CDC estimate of ~80% immunity in the population isn’t showing a decrease in cases.

That does not explain Brazil, which has almost no vaccination, but far more people who have had the disease. For some reason, they have not reached herd immunity, and you cannot blame the vaccine.
 
I'm not ignoring the man-made (vaccine) solution or the natural solution. You seem to think that the man-made solution is the only way. I'm following the science and going with both.

Great, so lets get as many people vaccinated as possible. That is the part of the solution we can control.
 
We can't continue the discussion, because you are unable to answer very basic questions that are integral to what you are proposing. Which is kind of astonishing.

I have no idea why Fauci answered that as he did. But the CDC doesn't make things up. When it comes to viruses and disease, they are the nation's most well-staffed, most knowledgeable and most informed authority. I know many on the right don't favor that kind of thing, anymore. They'd prefer people who don't have any experience or knowledge, but speak confidently and "go w/ their gut."

Knowing how long natural immunity lasts is "kind of important" if you want to proceed with a strategy that relies on natural immunity. That's what I'd say.

So, what the heck, I'll try again: how long does natural immunity last? How long would it take to achieve herd immunity, if vaccination rates stay the same and we rely on natural immunity for the rest?

These aren't hard questions. If this is your plan, you should be able to answer them.

You still have a problem.

You’re treating the *alleged* durability of acquired immunity as if it were settled science but you have yet to show us the science. The CDC’s say so isn’t ‘science’. You’re apparently willing to accept the mixed messaging between Fauci and the CDC and I’m not. How am I supposed to know who is wrong and who is right?

So show us your papers, if you can find any.

And before you straw man my point, it is this: it is clear that acquired immunity is markedly better than vax immunity. Until you show actual evidence to the contrary, it can be assumed to be at least as durable as vax immunity.

Given that, why don’t they moderate the vax campaign and offer exemptions for acquired immunity in their maybe/sorta constitutional mandates? Instead of rushing to jab the segment of the population that has ~0 risk from the bug, why don’t they revert to a more focused approach? Any of the healthy cohorts that gets the bug *will not* clog up the ICU’s. Instead, they will have flu like symptoms, then recover and transmit *less* of the virus to the community than their vax’d counterparts.

IOW, adapt the policy to the science. Think of how refreshing that would be. Think about it.
 
Well, by definition if a virus can spread asymptomatically, then it can destroy cells (part of the body) without asymptomatically.
a few cells are not body damage.
you claimed "diseases weakening the body in order to get a disease again."

It is not uncommon for diseases to do even bigger damage before symptoms are present. For instance heart disease will do damage to your heart before symptoms present themselves. Or AIDS does huge amounts of damage to the immune system, before any symptoms are present. The symptoms come after the damage, and only if the damage is bad enough.
there are lots of reasons for heart disease, and if you want to go that route CDC says heart inflammation cases were higher than expected in 16- to 24-year-olds after second Covid vaccine shot


No, I am not. A PCR test has no effect one way or another on your body. It is a test, not a treatment. Whatever Covid-19 will do, it will do whether you get the PCR test or not.
we KNOW symptoms occur quickly as the disease progresses. it is the viral load that caused the damages
So you are arguing simply the presense of COVID can cause damage- it cant
The virus has to establish itself in organs before the damage starts
 
Again - if everyone got vaxxed tomorrow, COVID would be done this month.

If, on the other hand, we rely more on natural immunity: can you give an estimate for when we might achieve herd immunity?

I've probably asked a dozen or so times on this thread. It can be ballpark.
Nope vaccinated people can catch covid and pass it along to others.

When early field data showed that vaccinating people cuts transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, researchers were cautiously optimistic. But they warned that many of those studies, although promising, took place before the fast-spreading Delta variant proliferated worldwide. Now, reports from various countries seem to confirm what scientists feared after the variant tore through India with alarming speed in April and May: Delta is more likely than other variants to spread through vaccinated people.

Data from COVID-19 tests in the United States, the United Kingdom and Singapore are showing that vaccinated people who become infected with Delta SARS-CoV-2 can carry as much virus in their nose as do unvaccinated people. This means that despite the protection offered by vaccines, a proportion of vaccinated people can pass on Delta, possibly aiding its rise.:palm:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02187-1
 
You still have a problem.

You’re treating the *alleged* durability of acquired immunity as if it were settled science but you have yet to show us the science. The CDC’s say so isn’t ‘science’. You’re apparently willing to accept the mixed messaging between Fauci and the CDC and I’m not. How am I supposed to know who is wrong and who is right?

So show us your papers, if you can find any.

And before you straw man my point, it is this: it is clear that acquired immunity is markedly better than vax immunity. Until you show actual evidence to the contrary, it can be assumed to be at least as durable as vax immunity.

Given that, why don’t they moderate the vax campaign and offer exemptions for acquired immunity in their maybe/sorta constitutional mandates? Instead of rushing to jab the segment of the population that has ~0 risk from the bug, why don’t they revert to a more focused approach? Any of the healthy cohorts that gets the bug *will not* clog up the ICU’s. Instead, they will have flu like symptoms, then recover and transmit *less* of the virus to the community than their vax’d counterparts.

IOW, adapt the policy to the science. Think of how refreshing that would be. Think about it.

It is noted that you can't answer the questions I have posted 6-7 times.
 
It's kind of amazing that people keep stating this - which is fact - like it's something that hasn't been an integral part of the discussion, and that is known by all.

That is because that is not how we have been raised to understand what vaccine are. We know vaccines to be substances we take so that we dont get the problem, and they often work for life. The so-called COVID vaccines dont do that.
 
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