Reality check on electric cars

only on imports.

buy american!
Nope. Not only on imports. Most things manufactured in America use imported goods in the production process. Do you think those Japanese parts in cars built in Tennessee aren't imported? Computers and everything else using electronics are built with imported chips and that includes GM and Ford vehicles.

That is before we get to the food price increases as the US will lose many of the workers in the food industry from farm labor, to meat processing plants to restaurants. American milk and steak are going to go up in price when there is no one there to do the work.
 
Indeed. Also, in order to carry out this loony agenda along with AI, the power grid is woefully inadequate to handle it and believing that solar and wind can fill that need is laughably moronic.

But let's not forget the leftist loons who argue for this nonsense, they are not very smart, lack intelligence, are gullible and run on emotion rather than logic and common sense. ;)

So we're gonna do things YOUR way for a while now, eh? Gonna make decisions based on general ignorance? OK. We'll see how that works.

You aren't going to fare so well because you don't know enough about any of these topics to understand any implications. But the rest of us will. I hope we have the ability to sit by and watch you stumble through it without any help. It would be hilarious to watch.
 
only on imports.

Good luck in finding things in America that don't contain imported parts.

buy american!

Agreed! But that's expensive which is why most of the Trump voters won't/can't buy it. Remember: people who voted for Trump have had such a horribly hard time the last 4 years (worse than the Great Depression!) that asking them to pay MORE for stuff isn't what they voted for.

You are a bad person for suggesting their vote for Trump won't fix everything as he claimed.
 
A thread with science and engineering? Don't mind if I do, I'll start here:


I'm not an electrochemist so I'm going to have to ask for a reference on that claim. Not that I don't believe you, I just don't know for certain. According to Wikipedia the max voltage output of an electrochemical cell is up to 6V so that right there is 2X higher than the max you suggest.
Voltage is not power.
Precisely.


EV's are a dead end. Hydrogen or anhydrous ammonia make far more sense.
Hydrogen doesn't. Not only is it difficult as a fuel when in a compressed gas state but solid-state storage as in a metal hydride is pretty low. The only versions of a H2 fuel cell car is one in which the H2 is generated from things like methanol. And that's a HORRIBLE fuel. Super dangerous to fuel your car with.
The pressures involved in storing a relevant amount of H₂ are prohibitive. H₂ is simpler to generate than propane, but propane is possible to synthesize and in a hypothetical future with abundant energy in the grid it would be a small cost in energy for the benefits in safety, reliability, and performance to use propane for vehicles.


I would also argue that propane is ideal in a more conventional environmental sense (not global climate change) in that it cleans itself at normal temperatures and pressures and doesn't leave an oil residue. That remove many of the build up problems ICEs experienced and it makes the inevitable logistical accidents much less disastrous.


Solar and wind are also less environmentally friendly.
Have to disagree on this. When a windmill catches fire and burns to the ground you don't have to abandon the state. Also, mining for uranium is not necessarily an environmentally friendly thing.
You don't have to abandon the state even after a melt-down. That is the kind of baseless hysteria that is inhibiting nuclear energy. That's the equivalent of saying the Caribbean ecosystem is lost when one tanker leaks. At worst you lose 20 square kilometers for 20 years. Well worth avoiding but a far cry from a whole state (unless it's Rhode Island).

Gardner says as much.

Yes, but the other and bigger issue with hydrogen is manufacturing it.
No that's pretty straight forward. Electrolysis.

-------------------------- On swapable batteries and charging ---------------

The problem with fast charging is the ampacity of the system. For that to work you need a station capable of 100 to 300 amps at 240 or 480 volts to pour all that power into the vehicle quickly. That raises the cost of the station exponentially along with making the draw on the grid far greater. So, those are going to remain the exception and be expensive to use. That isn't going to change.
The copper for charging is an insignificant cost compared to the cost of underground gasoline tanks. The fair comparison would be between all electric stations vs all gasoline stations. Stations can also buffer energy in large simple capacitors (don't really exist because there is no use case now, but layers of steel and glass that can be as big and heavy as you want so long as they're cheap and steel and glass can be very cheap if energy is cheap).

Of course a station does both will be more expensive than either.

The charging speed is dictated by the cell chemistry and construction as I'm sure you know. Fast charging is parallel charging of many small cells. The only way to make it faster is to subdivide the batteries into even more shallow charging depth cells and that makes them more expensive and has other problems.

I don't see any practical battery (under conventional definitions of battery) being fully rechargeable in under five minutes. Five minutes is what it would take for people to stop complaining.

It has been suggested that car batteries can be entirely swapped at a station, and I don't see a real problem with that. It's really just a software problem. How do you value the battery? You need a reliable estimate of its remaining charge life not only so you can cycle the dying ones out but because you need to pay the owner if you leave them with a battery that is closer to death.

Robotics is already good enough to handle swapping, you'd just drive over the right slot and it would do it below the car where you won't be in the way while you go get a coffee.

Daylight mentioned this and I agree with him. The lack of standardization is not a physical constant. We're obviously talking about what ought to be rather than what already is. If we need some variation in battery capacity we just use smaller packs and integer math. Compact takes 2, SUV takes 3, fully loaded pickup takes 4; that kind of thing.

And, that's all they'll ever be is concepts. The cost to do this [swapable batteries] on a nationwide scale is staggering.
The amount people pay for transportation annually is staggering. They'll switch they will pay for it, if you make it worth it. It will be worth it if electricity is made dirt cheap compared to gasoline... which is realistic in only one scenario: mass nuclear power, fission or fusion.

It takes longer than that to exchange a battery in an EV! Remember, the coolant lines?
That's just an engineering hurdle, one with clear solutions. Standard layout ports, self-cleaning with compressed air/vacuum, tapered guidance, quick connect style mating. Foolproof for the life of the battery and automatic mechanisms can't screw it up.

A bigger issue would be a system in the car and station to assure both parties that the coolant isn't contaminated, but that would go along with the rest of the contract enforcement about energy and exchange costs. Again, just engineering.

---------------
Norway is about 80% the size of California and roughly the same shape. About half of Norway is all but uninhabited due to geography too. Their push for EV's won't work in the US.
Norway has an enormous availability of hydroelectric power as well as an incredible level of infrastructure and "one highway" syndrome (lots of passes and tunnels focus traffic allowing them to get excellent charging station coverage with relatively few stations). In those ways adopting EVs is far less burdensome than it is for most nations.
 
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Nope. Not only on imports. Most things manufactured in America use imported goods in the production process. Do you think those Japanese parts in cars built in Tennessee aren't imported? Computers and everything else using electronics are built with imported chips and that includes GM and Ford vehicles.

That is before we get to the food price increases as the US will lose many of the workers in the food industry from farm labor, to meat processing plants to restaurants. American milk and steak are going to go up in price when there is no one there to do the work.
blah blah blah.

yes, you're a globalist brainwash victim.

:truestory:
 
blah blah, yes, you're a globalist brainwash victim.

Even if I'm the world's worst globalist. Doesn't change the FACT that almost all American products contain imported parts.

It's HILARIOUS that you think just screaming "Globalist!" at everyone is going to change reality.

You deserve EXACTLY what you'll get when you voted for Trump.
 
Even if I'm the world's worst globalist. Doesn't change the FACT that almost all American products contain imported parts.

It's HILARIOUS that you think just screaming "Globalist!" at everyone is going to change reality.

You deserve EXACTLY what you'll get when you voted for Trump.
they will be tariffed.

there's nothing we cant make here.

I deny you to name three things we can't make here.
 
ROFLMAO. I see you haven't had your SDS training which is required by OSHA.

They are not the same and they don't have the information in the same places. The SDS standardized the format of the information to make it easy to see the dangers of a product.
So, a new, minor improvement of a form by a bureaucrat that was approved by other bureaucrats. How usual...
 
The pressures involved in storing a relevant amount of H₂ are prohibitive.

No it isn't. Pressure isn't the limiting factor to having an onboard storage of H2.

H₂ is simpler to generate than propane,

Why synthesize propane when we can pump it out of the ground?



That is the kind of baseless hysteria that is inhibiting nuclear energy. That's the equivalent of saying the Caribbean ecosystem is lost when one tanker leaks. At worst you lose 20 square kilometers for 20 years.

Chernobyl Exclusion Zone is now almost 40 years old. It's over 1000 square miles.

 
No it isn't. Pressure isn't the limiting factor to having an onboard storage of H2.
What is then?

Last time I looked the tank wall thickness was on the same order of magnitude as the diameter of the inner cavity. That kinda screams "I'm trying to hold too much pressure".

Why synthesize propane when we can pump it out of the ground?
Well of course use what you can get, but the energy eco system we have now evolved in response to the ratios between hydrocarbon types in refining.

i.e. we bring up crude and (for the most part) we get a certain percentage of gasoline, kerosene, propane, methane, etc... from it.

If we want to significantly improve our lives we need to increase the energy usage per capita. Obviously we could significantly accelerate oil extraction without all the climate hysteria and carbon phobia but it's certainly true that it does get harder to find crude.

We will inevitably come to a point, and I think we're there already, where it is cheaper to build a nuclear reactor than to drill deeper. Or at least it should be given our technology level, government interference aside.

We will keep needing oil for the plastic production chain, which means we will still be getting the useful byproducts like propane and methane. If we tried to rapidly expand oil drilling we would only accelerate the approach of that tipping point and since we still want it for plastic we should drill up to the amount we need for plastic and see the energy as a bonus.

So for example there is nothing stopping us from building giant (or many) modern salt fission reactors to the scale of 50x current peak power. Maybe we can't keep the uranium stocked but we can migrate to thorium and such before we run out.

Can we drill for 50x current crude output? Would that imply burning some fractions that could be used for plastics?


Chernobyl Exclusion Zone is now almost 40 years old. It's over 1000 square miles.
They made a bomb out of vaporized nuclear rods. That's worse than meltdown and quite impossible with modern designs. Also it could easily be argued that they've been over cautious. There are plenty of plants and animals in that zone and every indication I've heard of is that they have suffered far fewer mutations than expected.

There are self-repair systems in cell nuclei and they seem to have a critical point below which radiation simply doesn't destroy things fast enough to be a problem. We stand under a nuclear fire every day and all life has been doing that for a billion years. It makes sense that we have systems that prevent cumulative damage.
 
Chernobyl Exclusion Zone is now almost 40 years old. It's over 1000 square miles.
Chernobyl was the result of a hard Leftist government with no accountability building an unsafe reactor design using graphite as the moderator and then operating it in an unsafe and unauthorized manner. Nowhere in the Western world was a graphite moderated fast fission reactor being used commercially to produce power. The only ones that exist(ed) were for the production of plutonium for nuclear weapons.

The Soviet government used the design because it was relatively cheap and easy to construct, and it gave them a twofer. It produced plutonium as a byproduct that they could then use in nuclear weapons.

The accident was directly caused by the lead engineer wanting to perform a required test in a non-standard manner. In an authoritarian dictatorship, you don't question the hierarchy, so his insane ideas went unchallenged. The way this test was supposed to be run was you brought the reactor up to steady state running at somewhere around 80 to 90% capacity and then executed a scram (shutdown) and the objective was to see how long you could continue to produce power after the rods dropped.

What the engineer wanted was the reactor held at about 2 to 3% power with the rods barely pulled and only the very bottom portion of the reactor operating. He thought you could get the same result this way and wanted to test his idea out. It was not an authorized method of operation.

What resulted was only the very bottom portion of the reactor was running and got hot--very hot. The cooling water running through the reactor wasn't pulling the heat out because it was in the running portion for only a moment before continuing on through the rest of the shutdown reactor. Graphite moderated fast fission reactors have a positive delta T in operation. That is, the hotter they get, the better they work. That's the reverse of water moderated reactors used in the West.
Anyway, what happened was the graphite (carbon, think giant radioactive charcoal briquette) in the area operating got hot enough to spontaneously combust. This resulted in carbon becoming CO, CO2, etc., that are gasses. The gas pressure built up, and we all know the outcome of that...

It didn't help that the containment was shoddily constructed by contractors on the take scamming a government that everybody scammed. There was no accountability for anything in the Soviet Union.

So, the bottom line here is that as an example of a nuclear accident it is only applicable to countries that have radical Leftist dictatorships running them as no nation where the government is accountable to the people would something like Chernobyl be allowed to be built to begin with.
 
What is then?

It's the fact that no one wants a tank of compressed hydrogen on their car. Simple as that.

That's why solid state storage like metal hydrides was being investigated. Or the material that I worked on briefly in my second postdoc.

If we want to significantly improve our lives we need to increase the energy usage per capita. Obviously we could significantly accelerate oil extraction without all the climate hysteria and carbon phobia but it's certainly true that it does get harder to find crude.

The "climate hysteria" you mentioned is kind of a big deal. But if we are OK with ignoring the really bad stuff why not just power cars with coal?

 
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