Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
1) Kurdistan isn't the main issue. The main issue is that the PKK is operating out of Northern Iraq against targets in Turkey and we are doing absolutely nothing about it even though the PKK is a terrorist organization. That is the main reason for the authorization, to take out the PKK since no one else will, specifically, the US.
2) I say that the resolution did not cause the authorization in that the resolution was not the driving force behind it. There are myriad other reasons why the authorization was passed, they were the cause. At best, the resolution caused the timing of the authorization.
As an aside, to say that the Turks have been ignoring the Kurdish raids is wrong. There have been active hostilities between Turks and Kurds along the border in both Turkey and Iraq for quite a while now. Indeed, just a few weeks ago Turkey authorized "hot pursuits" into Iraqi territory to pursue Kurdish rebels, well before the resolution became an issue.
(By the way, the resolution has not passed either house of Congress).
3) Fair enough, but emphasizing the Turkish point of view simply lets them off the hook. I think a fair assessment of the situation is that Turkey would have done this anyway and they are using an ill-timed resolution as cover for their actions.
ok.... we are closer in agreement than I thought....
1) You are correct that the main issue is the incursions by the PKK. I do not disagree with that at all. It is certainly the main reason Turkey wants to go into northern Iraq.
2) This resolution by the Turks came immediately after they warned us what would happen if the US House proceeded with a vote on the resolution regarding genocide. Again, I agree that the resolution is not the main reason they want to go into Iraq.... but the resolution was the final straw.
On your aside: I am aware that the hostilities have been on-going, they have been ever since we began the no-fly zone in the north protecting the Kurds from Saddam. But the troop movements in such mass have occurred very recently... and they are not talking about pursuit parties here. The force they have prepared is designed for one purpose... to hunt down and crush the Kurds of the PKK.
3) This is where we are in complete agreement. I did not mean to imply that we should let them off the hook. They wanted this and as you say... it is the "ill-timed resolution" that they are using as "cover". THAT cover would not exist had we not proceeded with the vote.
As you stated, the resolution has not been passed by the full house. Which is why I think the Turks are on hold right now. The Armenian resolution passed the House committee vote.... the Turks responded with an authorization to use force vote. IF (and this is currently still an IF) the House presses on with a full vote and it passes.... then I believe the Turks will respond by going into Iraq.