Ah, "the real poll numbers." I think the smart money would be on the pollster with the best track record in the business, whose real poll numbers, for example, were the only poll numbers that correctly predicted the outcome in all 50 states when Obama beat Romney, and who is recognized currently as the best there is.
No one is saying Harris is "running away with this race." Rather, she is calling for another debate probably because she whipped Trump's ass the first time and would like the fun of doing it again.